Injury Report for 9/27/2008
Butch Reed SWB ML 15-Day 9/26/2008 PM2 to 10/6/2008 PM2 - Reed was having a career year until this injury. Out for over a month the question will be if he can regain his form.
Gus Whitaker SCZ ML 15-Day 9/25/2008 PM to 10/15/2008 PM - Whitaker is on the 15 day list but it could have been the 60 day. A spot reliever he can probably reclaim is roster spot once healed, but it was a shakey roster spot even before the injury.
Bobby Dorsey SF ML 60-Day Out for the season - Dorsey needed the full season to make some progress towards his potential. The season ending injury threatens his career as his borderline control and health both have taken a major hit.
Cody Flynn NY2 ML 60-Day 9/22/2008 AM to 10/12/2008 AM - While nominally a SP Flynn has been earning his living as a reliever/closer. His injury will not change his status.
Vance Lincoln LAA ML 60-Day Out for the season - Lincoln was playing hisself to the bench before the injury. He will be lucky to retain a spot as starter/pinch hitter position against left hand pitchers. His Career is in jeopardy.
Saturday, September 27, 2008
Thursday, September 25, 2008
The AL East
From:
carnivore
To:
grivfmd1
Received:
9/25/2008 7:43:00 AM
Subject:
RE: No quitters blog - a little help wanted/needed
Message:
Dover White Cliffs (43-28 – last season: 94-68)Quick take: According to unnamed sources in Dover, the team’s owner was busy with personal matters and coach hiring in a different World during the days preceding the draft. A rather bland, lackluster draft was the result for the Al East’s defending champions.The good news: The World’s best run producing team in Season 9 (currently leading the Majors in Runs, 2Bs, HRs, BBs, AVG, OBP and SLG) added some nice pitching depth with 5 pitchers taken in the first 5 rounds. 4 of the 5 look like they may eventually get at least a cup of coffee at the ML level.The bad news: Dover has won the division 5 years running and has lost in the World Series twice during that time. In order to win it all, the deepest organization in the AL East doesn’t need more depth, it needs more stars. And it’s unlikely that anyone from this draft will ever make a ML All Star team. Cesar Pulido would have been an inspired choice in the supplementary round, but more than a few eyebrows were raised when his name was called in the first round. Likewise, supplemental pick Walt Durham was a bit of a reach. His potential value is predicated on his ability to eat innings out of the bullpen – but whether or not this is the guy they want to be doing the eating remains to be seen.Best value pick: Kevin File. The left hander projects with good control, decent splits and 5 pitches, only one of which can be described as “plus”. Even so, he could eventually make it as a 4-5th starter or a long reliever – not bad for a late second rounder. Throw in excellent endurance, health and makeup, and he could be the best of a rather unimpressive lot.Worst value pick: Cesar Pulido. You want your #1 pick to have Ace potential, and he just doesn’t have it. His upside is probably a #3 starter that’ll give you no more than 150 IP a year.Grade: C-. Some decent players, but not really what they needed.
Boston Brontoraptors (42-29 – last season: 82-80)Quick take: Boston invests in pitching.The good news: Lefty Gary Voyles will be murder on LHBs and should develop into a solid SP that’ll give Boston 200 IP a year without injury. RP Benito Maduro projects to having a very nice combination of control, velocity and splits.The bad news: After Voyles and Maduro there’s not much to talk about. Boston will have to get quality players deeper in the draft if they want to return to the playoffs on a regular basis. Furthermore, Voyles will really need to hit or exceed his vRHB projections if he’s going to succeed as a ML SP. In any case, he is coming out of high school, so it’ll be a while before he can contribute.Best value pick: Maduro. A really nice pick up in the second round. The only draw back is that he’d need another plus pitch to become a ML closer.Worst value pick: Troy Skinner. He’s basically Voyles-lite, and that means that it’s extremely unlikely that he’ll ever be able to get out ML RHBs on a regular basis. On good teams there’s a place for third rounders that can contribute. Unfortunately, Skinner can’t. Grade: C. Some help is on the way, but not enough.
Philadelphia Phantoms (27-44 – last season: 66-96)Quick take: A good, deep draft for Philadelphia.The good news: First rounder Lawrence Stankiewicz projects as a legitimate CF that hits like a corner. He may not make it to Cooperstown, but he’ll play in several AS games. Gene Scutaro and Zoltan Hammonds are both going to be solid ML pitchers, and rubber-armed Joe Burch may provide a whole lot of relief innings pitched from the 4th round. Even 5th rounder Leonardo Butcher has ML potential. And they also picked up some nice MiLB arms in rounds 6-9 to help fill out the organization.The bad news: It’ll take a few more drafts like this one before Philly can challenge Dover and Boston on a regular basis.Best value pick: Leonardo Butcher. Any time you find a 5th rounder that has a decent shot at making the Bigs you’ve done a good job.Worst value pick: Zoltan Hammonds This is a nitpick for the sake of nitpicking. Hammonds can pitch, but his combination of stamina/endurance makes him a ‘tweener without a natural role.Grade: A.
Toledo Chicken Hawks (24-47 – last season: 47-115) Quick take: It all depends on Byrne.The good news: Toledo had the first pick and picked Chris Byrne. Supplemental pick Geoffery Watson combines a good stick with legitimate 2B projections. Sparky Gaetti looks more like a RF than a 2B, but will hit well enough to play there in the Majors, if not as a regular. Esteban Rosa should provide some nice defense at SS and may be good enough to provide the RHB side of a platoon.The bad news: Byrne has yet to sign and everyone and his aunt are waiting to see his Advance Scouting report.Best value pick: It all depends on Byrne.Worst value pick: It all depends on Byrne.Grade: Incomplete. It all depends on Byrne.
From:
carnivore
To:
grivfmd1
Received:
9/25/2008 7:43:00 AM
Subject:
RE: No quitters blog - a little help wanted/needed
Message:
Dover White Cliffs (43-28 – last season: 94-68)Quick take: According to unnamed sources in Dover, the team’s owner was busy with personal matters and coach hiring in a different World during the days preceding the draft. A rather bland, lackluster draft was the result for the Al East’s defending champions.The good news: The World’s best run producing team in Season 9 (currently leading the Majors in Runs, 2Bs, HRs, BBs, AVG, OBP and SLG) added some nice pitching depth with 5 pitchers taken in the first 5 rounds. 4 of the 5 look like they may eventually get at least a cup of coffee at the ML level.The bad news: Dover has won the division 5 years running and has lost in the World Series twice during that time. In order to win it all, the deepest organization in the AL East doesn’t need more depth, it needs more stars. And it’s unlikely that anyone from this draft will ever make a ML All Star team. Cesar Pulido would have been an inspired choice in the supplementary round, but more than a few eyebrows were raised when his name was called in the first round. Likewise, supplemental pick Walt Durham was a bit of a reach. His potential value is predicated on his ability to eat innings out of the bullpen – but whether or not this is the guy they want to be doing the eating remains to be seen.Best value pick: Kevin File. The left hander projects with good control, decent splits and 5 pitches, only one of which can be described as “plus”. Even so, he could eventually make it as a 4-5th starter or a long reliever – not bad for a late second rounder. Throw in excellent endurance, health and makeup, and he could be the best of a rather unimpressive lot.Worst value pick: Cesar Pulido. You want your #1 pick to have Ace potential, and he just doesn’t have it. His upside is probably a #3 starter that’ll give you no more than 150 IP a year.Grade: C-. Some decent players, but not really what they needed.
Boston Brontoraptors (42-29 – last season: 82-80)Quick take: Boston invests in pitching.The good news: Lefty Gary Voyles will be murder on LHBs and should develop into a solid SP that’ll give Boston 200 IP a year without injury. RP Benito Maduro projects to having a very nice combination of control, velocity and splits.The bad news: After Voyles and Maduro there’s not much to talk about. Boston will have to get quality players deeper in the draft if they want to return to the playoffs on a regular basis. Furthermore, Voyles will really need to hit or exceed his vRHB projections if he’s going to succeed as a ML SP. In any case, he is coming out of high school, so it’ll be a while before he can contribute.Best value pick: Maduro. A really nice pick up in the second round. The only draw back is that he’d need another plus pitch to become a ML closer.Worst value pick: Troy Skinner. He’s basically Voyles-lite, and that means that it’s extremely unlikely that he’ll ever be able to get out ML RHBs on a regular basis. On good teams there’s a place for third rounders that can contribute. Unfortunately, Skinner can’t. Grade: C. Some help is on the way, but not enough.
Philadelphia Phantoms (27-44 – last season: 66-96)Quick take: A good, deep draft for Philadelphia.The good news: First rounder Lawrence Stankiewicz projects as a legitimate CF that hits like a corner. He may not make it to Cooperstown, but he’ll play in several AS games. Gene Scutaro and Zoltan Hammonds are both going to be solid ML pitchers, and rubber-armed Joe Burch may provide a whole lot of relief innings pitched from the 4th round. Even 5th rounder Leonardo Butcher has ML potential. And they also picked up some nice MiLB arms in rounds 6-9 to help fill out the organization.The bad news: It’ll take a few more drafts like this one before Philly can challenge Dover and Boston on a regular basis.Best value pick: Leonardo Butcher. Any time you find a 5th rounder that has a decent shot at making the Bigs you’ve done a good job.Worst value pick: Zoltan Hammonds This is a nitpick for the sake of nitpicking. Hammonds can pitch, but his combination of stamina/endurance makes him a ‘tweener without a natural role.Grade: A.
Toledo Chicken Hawks (24-47 – last season: 47-115) Quick take: It all depends on Byrne.The good news: Toledo had the first pick and picked Chris Byrne. Supplemental pick Geoffery Watson combines a good stick with legitimate 2B projections. Sparky Gaetti looks more like a RF than a 2B, but will hit well enough to play there in the Majors, if not as a regular. Esteban Rosa should provide some nice defense at SS and may be good enough to provide the RHB side of a platoon.The bad news: Byrne has yet to sign and everyone and his aunt are waiting to see his Advance Scouting report.Best value pick: It all depends on Byrne.Worst value pick: It all depends on Byrne.Grade: Incomplete. It all depends on Byrne.
Saturday, September 20, 2008
Injury Report 9/19/2008
The lead injury for the last 2 months has been this blogger - not passing my 4th kidney stone in the last 10 weeks on the night(9/12/08) of my younger sons rehearsal dinner (never got there). If it does not pass surgery in 2 weeks.
Now for the make believe players
Alex Lincoln TOL ML 60-Day 9/11/2008 PM to 10/4/2008 AM - a rookie LF with promise who went down in the 1st week
David Schwartz TOL ML 60-Day 9/14/2008 out for the season - a young 1B this may be a career threatening injury and combined with the Lincoln loss put Toledo in a real hole
Frank Caruso TB ML 60-Day 9/6/2008 PM to 10/2/2008 AM A good but not great defensive SS his lose of range will limit his effectiveness even when he returns
Geoff Wolf VC ML 60-Day 9/9/2008 AM for the season - losing a SP for the seson is never good, a good one at the start of a 3 yr contract is even worse - a major blow to the Vigalantees and when combined with losing 2 quality RP - ouch
Matt Davis VC ML 60-Day 9/5/2008 PM2 to 10/6/2008 PM
Oscar Tyson VC ML 60-Day 9/3/2008 PM2 for the season
Ross Erickson CHY ML 60-Day 9/16/2008 PM2 for the season - an all-star like year cut short
Todd McPherson KC ML 60-Day 9/7/2008 PM2 to 10/12/2008 PM2 - a tough your for RPs every where - if you have some RP depth there may be some trade needs out there
Tomas Torres SF ML 60-Day 9/5/2008 AM to 10/7/2008 AM - Torres has been a quality SP but this is a career shortening injury that may result in demostion to long relief or setup when he returns from the DL
Dennis Liang SA ML 15-Day 9/15/2008 PM to 10/1/2008 AM - another RP down for a significant time period
I did not do most of the 15 DL and skipped a couple of "lesser 60 day DLs - I will try to catch up next week
Now for the make believe players
Alex Lincoln TOL ML 60-Day 9/11/2008 PM to 10/4/2008 AM - a rookie LF with promise who went down in the 1st week
David Schwartz TOL ML 60-Day 9/14/2008 out for the season - a young 1B this may be a career threatening injury and combined with the Lincoln loss put Toledo in a real hole
Frank Caruso TB ML 60-Day 9/6/2008 PM to 10/2/2008 AM A good but not great defensive SS his lose of range will limit his effectiveness even when he returns
Geoff Wolf VC ML 60-Day 9/9/2008 AM for the season - losing a SP for the seson is never good, a good one at the start of a 3 yr contract is even worse - a major blow to the Vigalantees and when combined with losing 2 quality RP - ouch
Matt Davis VC ML 60-Day 9/5/2008 PM2 to 10/6/2008 PM
Oscar Tyson VC ML 60-Day 9/3/2008 PM2 for the season
Ross Erickson CHY ML 60-Day 9/16/2008 PM2 for the season - an all-star like year cut short
Todd McPherson KC ML 60-Day 9/7/2008 PM2 to 10/12/2008 PM2 - a tough your for RPs every where - if you have some RP depth there may be some trade needs out there
Tomas Torres SF ML 60-Day 9/5/2008 AM to 10/7/2008 AM - Torres has been a quality SP but this is a career shortening injury that may result in demostion to long relief or setup when he returns from the DL
Dennis Liang SA ML 15-Day 9/15/2008 PM to 10/1/2008 AM - another RP down for a significant time period
I did not do most of the 15 DL and skipped a couple of "lesser 60 day DLs - I will try to catch up next week
Sunday, June 8, 2008
injury report 6/8/2008
we are in season 8 and my time is more limited than ever so the injury report will be limited to impact players - Here is the summary - several of these borderline players are eligible to return but their clubs are not in a rush to get them off the DL.
Barry Riley WAS
15-Day
6/3/2008 PM2
6/12/2008 AM
Hamstring, pull
Butch Reed SWB - rookie Butch Reed may have a future, particularly paired with a strong defense
15-Day
6/7/2008 PM2
6/12/2008 AM
Shoulder, strained
Crash Johnson CH2
15-Day
6/2/2008 PM
6/12/2008 PM
Shoulder, sore
Harold Gibbons DET - Detroits closer - a significant but short lterm lose
15-Day
6/5/2008
6/16/2008 PM
Shoulder, sprained
Jamie Monroe SF
15-Day
5/31/2008 PM
6/4/2008 AM
Back, spasms
Jared Hubbard BAL - Hubbard is injury prone - a short stint on the DL and 3 missed starts may be the least of Griv's worries before the season is out
15-Day
6/7/2008 PM2
6/11/2008 PM
Back, spasms
Mark Lo WAS
15-Day
6/1/2008 PM
6/3/2008 PM2
Groin, stiff/strained/tight
Scot Reed PIT - Scot Reed is a "Mark Grace" 1B - lose, but not a major one
15-Day
6/6/2008 AM
6/6/2008 AM
6/10/2008 PM
Neck, stiff/strain
Travis Wainhouse TB
15-Day
6/3/2008 AM
6/7/2008 PM2
Hamstring, strained/stiff/tight
Jason Hill WAS
60-Day
6/2/2008 AM
6/29/2008 AM
Knee, ligament tear
Jeremy Hughes OAK
60-Day
6/5/2008 PM2
6/29/2008 AM
Shoulder, sore
Placido Astacio FLA- a solid RF having a good year - a significant lose
60-Day
6/6/2008 PM
AM
Knee, ACL Tear
Samuel Parque CH1 - RF with major power and good health history recently acquired in trade - a major blow for CH1
60-Day
5/23/2008
AM
Hamstring, tear
Vinny Kelly WAS - career ending injury
60-Day
5/21/2008 AM
AM
Hamstring, tear
Barry Riley WAS
15-Day
6/3/2008 PM2
6/12/2008 AM
Hamstring, pull
Butch Reed SWB - rookie Butch Reed may have a future, particularly paired with a strong defense
15-Day
6/7/2008 PM2
6/12/2008 AM
Shoulder, strained
Crash Johnson CH2
15-Day
6/2/2008 PM
6/12/2008 PM
Shoulder, sore
Harold Gibbons DET - Detroits closer - a significant but short lterm lose
15-Day
6/5/2008
6/16/2008 PM
Shoulder, sprained
Jamie Monroe SF
15-Day
5/31/2008 PM
6/4/2008 AM
Back, spasms
Jared Hubbard BAL - Hubbard is injury prone - a short stint on the DL and 3 missed starts may be the least of Griv's worries before the season is out
15-Day
6/7/2008 PM2
6/11/2008 PM
Back, spasms
Mark Lo WAS
15-Day
6/1/2008 PM
6/3/2008 PM2
Groin, stiff/strained/tight
Scot Reed PIT - Scot Reed is a "Mark Grace" 1B - lose, but not a major one
15-Day
6/6/2008 AM
6/6/2008 AM
6/10/2008 PM
Neck, stiff/strain
Travis Wainhouse TB
15-Day
6/3/2008 AM
6/7/2008 PM2
Hamstring, strained/stiff/tight
Jason Hill WAS
60-Day
6/2/2008 AM
6/29/2008 AM
Knee, ligament tear
Jeremy Hughes OAK
60-Day
6/5/2008 PM2
6/29/2008 AM
Shoulder, sore
Placido Astacio FLA- a solid RF having a good year - a significant lose
60-Day
6/6/2008 PM
AM
Knee, ACL Tear
Samuel Parque CH1 - RF with major power and good health history recently acquired in trade - a major blow for CH1
60-Day
5/23/2008
AM
Hamstring, tear
Vinny Kelly WAS - career ending injury
60-Day
5/21/2008 AM
AM
Hamstring, tear
Saturday, April 5, 2008
NL pennant race
Pennant race after 129 games - 43 to play
NL North
New York Natty Dreads shakazulu5 72-47 .605 15 against <.490
Chicago Orphans new 68-51 .571 14 against <.490
Rochester Genesee dsmba 65-54 .546 14 against <.490
St. Louis Macrobrews jamier2003 44-75 .370
NL East
Scranton Quakers Saffron 71-48 .597 13 against <.490
Baltimore Blue Crabs grivfmd1 67-52 .563 23 against <.490
Pittsburgh Peckerheads larryland44 43-76 .361
Washington D.C. Senators AllSox 29-90 .244
NL South
Austin Shiner Bocks brettm1220 74-45 .622 13 against <.490
Tampa Bay Rum Runners jerichokings 63-56 .529 13 against <.490
New Orleans Mardi Gras bobkordecki 60-59 .504 16 against <.490
Jackson Jackelopes BrianCampos 48-71 .403
NL West
San Francisco Alcatraz Sharks dbgmpd 77-42 .647 14 against <.490
Cheyenne Cowboys jonboynky 70-49 .588 3 against <.490
Oakland Bee's hshack 59-60 .496
Salt Lake City Slingers mahnk 49-70 .412
Wild Card
Cheyenne Cowboys jonboynky 70-49 .588 3 against <.490
Chicago Orphans new 68-51 .571 14 against <.490
Baltimore Blue Crabs grivfmd1 67-52 .563 23 against <.490
Rochester Genesee dsmba 65-54 .546 14 against <.490
Tampa Bay Rum Runners jerichokings 63-56 .529 13 against <.490
New Orleans Mardi Gras bobkordecki 60-59 .504 16 against <.490
Eleven of the 16 NL teams remain in contention for the playoffs. The division races (except in the NL South) are tight with 4 games seperating the leaders in the North and East and 7 in the west. A ten games winning or losing streak could turn anhy of these divisions. However what makes the NL truely competitive is the seven teams within 9 games of the last WC slot and 5 of them with 5 games of that last slot. As the charts indicate the strength of remaining schedule is about even except for 2 teams. The WC leading Cowboys have only 3 games left against teams that are out of contention and the Blue Crabs have 23 remaining against these teams. All the other contenders are between 13 and 16. With the schedule so balanced and teams so close in the standings anything may happen.
NL North
New York Natty Dreads shakazulu5 72-47 .605 15 against <.490
Chicago Orphans new 68-51 .571 14 against <.490
Rochester Genesee dsmba 65-54 .546 14 against <.490
St. Louis Macrobrews jamier2003 44-75 .370
NL East
Scranton Quakers Saffron 71-48 .597 13 against <.490
Baltimore Blue Crabs grivfmd1 67-52 .563 23 against <.490
Pittsburgh Peckerheads larryland44 43-76 .361
Washington D.C. Senators AllSox 29-90 .244
NL South
Austin Shiner Bocks brettm1220 74-45 .622 13 against <.490
Tampa Bay Rum Runners jerichokings 63-56 .529 13 against <.490
New Orleans Mardi Gras bobkordecki 60-59 .504 16 against <.490
Jackson Jackelopes BrianCampos 48-71 .403
NL West
San Francisco Alcatraz Sharks dbgmpd 77-42 .647 14 against <.490
Cheyenne Cowboys jonboynky 70-49 .588 3 against <.490
Oakland Bee's hshack 59-60 .496
Salt Lake City Slingers mahnk 49-70 .412
Wild Card
Cheyenne Cowboys jonboynky 70-49 .588 3 against <.490
Chicago Orphans new 68-51 .571 14 against <.490
Baltimore Blue Crabs grivfmd1 67-52 .563 23 against <.490
Rochester Genesee dsmba 65-54 .546 14 against <.490
Tampa Bay Rum Runners jerichokings 63-56 .529 13 against <.490
New Orleans Mardi Gras bobkordecki 60-59 .504 16 against <.490
Eleven of the 16 NL teams remain in contention for the playoffs. The division races (except in the NL South) are tight with 4 games seperating the leaders in the North and East and 7 in the west. A ten games winning or losing streak could turn anhy of these divisions. However what makes the NL truely competitive is the seven teams within 9 games of the last WC slot and 5 of them with 5 games of that last slot. As the charts indicate the strength of remaining schedule is about even except for 2 teams. The WC leading Cowboys have only 3 games left against teams that are out of contention and the Blue Crabs have 23 remaining against these teams. All the other contenders are between 13 and 16. With the schedule so balanced and teams so close in the standings anything may happen.
Injury report - april 5th
This injury report covers 2 weeks
ML 60 day DL
Bucky Anderson SXF 4/1/2008 AM - a journey man SP Anderson's injury (shoulder) ends his best season in years. Souix Falls had already fallen out of the AL north race so his absence is not critical.
George Cradle NY2 3/29/2008 PM - Cradle had been effective but in light action. His absence is not critical.
Julian Duran OAK 3/28/2008 PM2 - If Oakland had been challenging for a playoff slot (10 games out of a WC) this loss would have been devestating. Duran should return next year no worse for wear, though this could further increase his higher injury risk.
15 Day Disable list
Clay Buford 3/28/2008 AM and Darryl Perez 3/30/2008 AM - Pittsburg - a pair of journeyman pitchers their injuries will not impact the outcome of the season or their careers
Harold Van Hatten BAL 4/4/2008 PM2 - shoing improvement over the season Van Hatten's loss will hamper the Crabs drive for a WC. Fortunately he should miss only 3 starts and return will no ill effects.
Harry Diaz PAW - 3/29/2008 PM - Pawtuckets solid lead in the AL north should not be impact by Diaz temporary loss
Javier Cortazar JAC 4/3/2008 PM2 Joaquin Ontiveros JAC 4/3/2008 AM The injuries to Cortazar and Ontivoeros was not enough to get Max Samuel JAC 3/7/2008 PM2 off the DL. Cortazar is having a solid year as a starter and should return after missing 3 starters. Ontiveros in his 2nd year hits the DL for the 5th time in 4 years. So far the time on the DL has not impacted his career but this may only be a matter of time. Jacksons season will not be impacted by their absence as it is already "over".
Pablo James WAS 4/3/2008 PM2 - James is a marginal rookie on a weak team. His injury moght save him from a 20 loss season, but if returns as scheduled the 20 losses is a sure thing.
Theodore Springer LV 3/30/2008 PM - a "pine brother" on the outlaws his injury has little impact on his career or the Outlaws season.
There were 2 season ending injuries to potential superstars at the hi A level
Miguel Gardel RIC 3/28/2008 PM - Gardel's stress fracture wiped out a year of progress and will require major rehab in the off season if he is to progress. The hit to his health status may be the worst impact.
Elrod Granger SWB 3/23/2008 PM - Grangers hamstring injury has ended his potential as a speedster. He will now have to rely on his bat which remains a potent weapon. The impact on his future health status is the worst part of the injury and may require Scranton's budget for training and medical budget to remain high.
ML 60 day DL
Bucky Anderson SXF 4/1/2008 AM - a journey man SP Anderson's injury (shoulder) ends his best season in years. Souix Falls had already fallen out of the AL north race so his absence is not critical.
George Cradle NY2 3/29/2008 PM - Cradle had been effective but in light action. His absence is not critical.
Julian Duran OAK 3/28/2008 PM2 - If Oakland had been challenging for a playoff slot (10 games out of a WC) this loss would have been devestating. Duran should return next year no worse for wear, though this could further increase his higher injury risk.
15 Day Disable list
Clay Buford 3/28/2008 AM and Darryl Perez 3/30/2008 AM - Pittsburg - a pair of journeyman pitchers their injuries will not impact the outcome of the season or their careers
Harold Van Hatten BAL 4/4/2008 PM2 - shoing improvement over the season Van Hatten's loss will hamper the Crabs drive for a WC. Fortunately he should miss only 3 starts and return will no ill effects.
Harry Diaz PAW - 3/29/2008 PM - Pawtuckets solid lead in the AL north should not be impact by Diaz temporary loss
Javier Cortazar JAC 4/3/2008 PM2 Joaquin Ontiveros JAC 4/3/2008 AM The injuries to Cortazar and Ontivoeros was not enough to get Max Samuel JAC 3/7/2008 PM2 off the DL. Cortazar is having a solid year as a starter and should return after missing 3 starters. Ontiveros in his 2nd year hits the DL for the 5th time in 4 years. So far the time on the DL has not impacted his career but this may only be a matter of time. Jacksons season will not be impacted by their absence as it is already "over".
Pablo James WAS 4/3/2008 PM2 - James is a marginal rookie on a weak team. His injury moght save him from a 20 loss season, but if returns as scheduled the 20 losses is a sure thing.
Theodore Springer LV 3/30/2008 PM - a "pine brother" on the outlaws his injury has little impact on his career or the Outlaws season.
There were 2 season ending injuries to potential superstars at the hi A level
Miguel Gardel RIC 3/28/2008 PM - Gardel's stress fracture wiped out a year of progress and will require major rehab in the off season if he is to progress. The hit to his health status may be the worst impact.
Elrod Granger SWB 3/23/2008 PM - Grangers hamstring injury has ended his potential as a speedster. He will now have to rely on his bat which remains a potent weapon. The impact on his future health status is the worst part of the injury and may require Scranton's budget for training and medical budget to remain high.
Saturday, March 22, 2008
Injury Report March 23
This was a quiet week at the ML level for injuries with only 1 new 60 day DL and 4 - 5 day DLs
Jeremi Edwards SXF - Edwards career was already winding down. He may have a few good innings left in him when he returns but his chances of landing a contract next year in free agency is slim.
60-Day
3/21/2008 PM2
Stewart Shields RIC - This writer expected Shields injury to be a blow to Richmond, but Shields had seen reduced playing time this season. While he sufferred a ratings hit, the injury should not have a long term impact on the 25y/o's career. If he remains underutilized by Richmond he could become a trade target latter in the season.
15-Day
3/16/2008 PM2
Alvin Hernandez RIC - The power hitting Hernandez was having a good Rookie season but will now be out 21 games. While the hamstring injury has delivered a small hit to his ratings it should not have a long term impact and the 23y/o 1st round pick and budding star should fullfil his potential.
15-Day
Raymond Magadan JAC - The 30 y/o Magadan was enjoying the best year of his mediocore career when his shoulder started acting up. If he is fortunate he will return shortly to the starting lineup and pick up where he left off. If he can stay off the DL (health 61) he may still have a career year. Next year is his 1st in arbitration and he will need a good year to avoid the bread line.
15-Day
3/18/2008 AM
Trevor Bellhorn FLA - The journeyman Bellhorn is holding down a middle relief role in the Florida Pen. His stint on the DL with elbow inflamation should not change his status.
15-Day
3/17/2008 AM
The minor league Report
There were numerous injuries in the minors this week but only the rookie injuries have a long term impact.
Artie Parnell KC - The number 12 pick in the draft Parnell is key to KC's future. A power hitting switch hitter the injury could have a lingering impact on Artie's Health and injury risk. Out for the season it will be interesting to see how he rebounds.
Rookie
60-Day
3/22/2008 AM
Clay Wells OAK - Wells is the 3rd round pick of Oakland and is out for the season with elbow surgery. A control pitcher with a poor health history this early injury may be the 1st of many and keep him out of the lajor leagues
Rookie
60-Day
3/20/2008 PM
Dante Sugawara TOL - The 2nd round pick of Toledo is projected defensive SS. The hamstring injury puts him out for the season. Normally a low injury risk this injury will slow his progress but if he can avoid further injury he should approach his potential
Rookie
60-Day
3/19/2008 PM2
Jeremi Edwards SXF - Edwards career was already winding down. He may have a few good innings left in him when he returns but his chances of landing a contract next year in free agency is slim.
60-Day
3/21/2008 PM2
Stewart Shields RIC - This writer expected Shields injury to be a blow to Richmond, but Shields had seen reduced playing time this season. While he sufferred a ratings hit, the injury should not have a long term impact on the 25y/o's career. If he remains underutilized by Richmond he could become a trade target latter in the season.
15-Day
3/16/2008 PM2
Alvin Hernandez RIC - The power hitting Hernandez was having a good Rookie season but will now be out 21 games. While the hamstring injury has delivered a small hit to his ratings it should not have a long term impact and the 23y/o 1st round pick and budding star should fullfil his potential.
15-Day
Raymond Magadan JAC - The 30 y/o Magadan was enjoying the best year of his mediocore career when his shoulder started acting up. If he is fortunate he will return shortly to the starting lineup and pick up where he left off. If he can stay off the DL (health 61) he may still have a career year. Next year is his 1st in arbitration and he will need a good year to avoid the bread line.
15-Day
3/18/2008 AM
Trevor Bellhorn FLA - The journeyman Bellhorn is holding down a middle relief role in the Florida Pen. His stint on the DL with elbow inflamation should not change his status.
15-Day
3/17/2008 AM
The minor league Report
There were numerous injuries in the minors this week but only the rookie injuries have a long term impact.
Artie Parnell KC - The number 12 pick in the draft Parnell is key to KC's future. A power hitting switch hitter the injury could have a lingering impact on Artie's Health and injury risk. Out for the season it will be interesting to see how he rebounds.
Rookie
60-Day
3/22/2008 AM
Clay Wells OAK - Wells is the 3rd round pick of Oakland and is out for the season with elbow surgery. A control pitcher with a poor health history this early injury may be the 1st of many and keep him out of the lajor leagues
Rookie
60-Day
3/20/2008 PM
Dante Sugawara TOL - The 2nd round pick of Toledo is projected defensive SS. The hamstring injury puts him out for the season. Normally a low injury risk this injury will slow his progress but if he can avoid further injury he should approach his potential
Rookie
60-Day
3/19/2008 PM2
Major Trade Review
The Charlotte Comets traded Eli Gabriel http://whatifsports.com/HBD/Pages/Popups/PlayerProfile.aspx?pid=462485 to the Pawtucket Paw Paw for Chad Ratliff http://whatifsports.com/HBD/Pages/Popups/PlayerProfile.aspx?pid=1036277 . Gabriel had been riding the pines for the Comets and the chance to play full time should have had Eli hammering the ball but Gabriel's debut with Pawtucket is off to a slow start. In exchange for Gabriel the Comets obtained the services of former st round pick Ratliff. Ratliff is also off to a slow start at AA. However, scouting on Ratliff projects him as a dominant ML power hitter.
Whether Gabriel is enough to push Pawtucket into the playoffs this year is debatable. However, Radcliff will help keep the Comets on top for years. In this writers opinion The Comets will benefit most from this trade.
Please post your assessments of the trade.
In the coming week the owners will gather at the all-star game - look for some major trade activity as teams jockey for playoff position.
Whether Gabriel is enough to push Pawtucket into the playoffs this year is debatable. However, Radcliff will help keep the Comets on top for years. In this writers opinion The Comets will benefit most from this trade.
Please post your assessments of the trade.
In the coming week the owners will gather at the all-star game - look for some major trade activity as teams jockey for playoff position.
Sunday, March 16, 2008
Injury Report Sunday March 16
Thee were a slew of major new injuries this week
Adrian Colin LAA - A journeyman working in long relief. Out for much of the season with a career threatening arm fractue
60-Day
3/9/2008 PM
Orlando Owen LV - A major blow to the Outlaws season. Owen had been a solid starter the first part of the season. He should return next year. The Outlaws may be seeking a replacement.
60-Day
3/14/2008 PM2
Daryle Kent LAA - Kent's career has suffered a major setback, but the impact on LAA should be minor. Kent's career projected as a LRA with injury risk - the major injury has come early
60-Day
3/14/2008 AM
Jared Hubbard BAL - One of the reasons Baltimore increased its training and medical budget the last 2 years. Hubbard had been off to a torrid start in his rookie year, but will now be out for 23 games. The Crabs will likely keep him out a little longer.
15 - Day
3/11/2008 PM2
Ralph Roth SXF - About to return from the DL, Roth has been a starter. Will he regain his slot at the end of the order or be headed to the pen for LR
15-Day
3/10/2008 PM
Jerome Harris SF - The starting CF with an excellant health history, Harris' injury was not anticipated. Fortunately for the Sharks there should be no long term impact and Harris should be returning shortly
15-Day
3/10/2008 PM2
Benjamin Kinney TOL - Not technically a rookie, Kinney has spent much of his career in the minors. The injury is a blow to his career and emphasises his injury tendencies. He should return to pre-inury form but whether his starting position will still be available is a question.
15-Day
3/13/2008 PM
Cameron Stewart LV - One of the outlaws studs. A long term injury to Stewart would be a problem. Fortunately for the outlaws this is not a biggie. He should return in 14 days as good as new.
15-Day
3/14/2008 AM
Ahmed King FLA - Out 33 day former Cy Yound winner King is having a tough season. Already not performing to expectations this is the kind of free agent signing that can get a GM in trouble. Fortunately the contract is for only one year. Watch for King on the trade market after the all-star break.
15-Day
3/14/2008 PM2
Rich Stokes SLC - Out 30 days Stokes is another player who had not been pitching to form. Was it due to underlying injury? Will he return to form or is this a lost season? In the 2nd year of a 3 year FA contract Stokes has a year and a half to get his career back on track.
15-Day
3/15/2008 AM
There were no new career threatening injuries to ML prospects at the minor league level
Adrian Colin LAA - A journeyman working in long relief. Out for much of the season with a career threatening arm fractue
60-Day
3/9/2008 PM
Orlando Owen LV - A major blow to the Outlaws season. Owen had been a solid starter the first part of the season. He should return next year. The Outlaws may be seeking a replacement.
60-Day
3/14/2008 PM2
Daryle Kent LAA - Kent's career has suffered a major setback, but the impact on LAA should be minor. Kent's career projected as a LRA with injury risk - the major injury has come early
60-Day
3/14/2008 AM
Jared Hubbard BAL - One of the reasons Baltimore increased its training and medical budget the last 2 years. Hubbard had been off to a torrid start in his rookie year, but will now be out for 23 games. The Crabs will likely keep him out a little longer.
15 - Day
3/11/2008 PM2
Ralph Roth SXF - About to return from the DL, Roth has been a starter. Will he regain his slot at the end of the order or be headed to the pen for LR
15-Day
3/10/2008 PM
Jerome Harris SF - The starting CF with an excellant health history, Harris' injury was not anticipated. Fortunately for the Sharks there should be no long term impact and Harris should be returning shortly
15-Day
3/10/2008 PM2
Benjamin Kinney TOL - Not technically a rookie, Kinney has spent much of his career in the minors. The injury is a blow to his career and emphasises his injury tendencies. He should return to pre-inury form but whether his starting position will still be available is a question.
15-Day
3/13/2008 PM
Cameron Stewart LV - One of the outlaws studs. A long term injury to Stewart would be a problem. Fortunately for the outlaws this is not a biggie. He should return in 14 days as good as new.
15-Day
3/14/2008 AM
Ahmed King FLA - Out 33 day former Cy Yound winner King is having a tough season. Already not performing to expectations this is the kind of free agent signing that can get a GM in trouble. Fortunately the contract is for only one year. Watch for King on the trade market after the all-star break.
15-Day
3/14/2008 PM2
Rich Stokes SLC - Out 30 days Stokes is another player who had not been pitching to form. Was it due to underlying injury? Will he return to form or is this a lost season? In the 2nd year of a 3 year FA contract Stokes has a year and a half to get his career back on track.
15-Day
3/15/2008 AM
There were no new career threatening injuries to ML prospects at the minor league level
Sunday, March 9, 2008
Injury Report Sunday 3/9/2008
Samuel Fetters BUF Fetters career is winding down - the injury will have little impact
15-Day
3/5/2008 PM
3/8/2008 PM2
Back, strain
Archie Simpkins CHY Simpkins is a major piece for the Cowboys - fortunately the long term impact on his career is negligible but missing his bat for 25+/- games further hurts the Cowboys
15-Day
3/8/2008 AM
3/16/2008 PM
Rib cage, strained
Fausto Trajano DOV - A minor player for White Cliffs - no impact
15-Day
3/4/2008 PM2
3/11/2008 PM2
Oblique, strained or stiff
Max Samuel JAC -At 36 and fragile Max's career is nearing an end - he may hang on for the year as a pinch hitter
15-Day
3/7/2008 PM2
3/19/2008 PM
Neck, bulging disk
Tim Relaford JAC should return shortly - no impact on his career
15-Day
3/6/2008 PM2
3/9/2008 PM
Neck, stiff/strain
Brian Daniels ROC - a speedster at 1B the injury does not appear to change his status -
15-Day
3/4/2008 AM
3/11/2008 PM
MCL, strained
Shawn Dickson SXF - a significant injury to a younger but injury prone player - this will have an impact on his future. Another injury may end his career. In the last year of a contract he will be a major risk to sign
15-Day
2/25/2008 PM
3/10/2008 AM
Shoulder, sprained
Francis Young CHA - losing your closer is hard - some loss in effectiveness, but when he returns he should pick up where he left off - in the last year of his contract he will be more of a risk to (re)sign.
60-Day
2/29/2008 AM
3/22/2008 PM2
Rotator cuff, sore
Tony Reynoso CHY - ouch, already an injury risk - the medical/training staff will need to handle with care when he returns
60-Day
3/1/2008 PM
3/31/2008 PM2
Elbow, tendinitis
Victor Donovan CHY double ouch, an expensive loss. And a major loss for Donovan himself in next years free agency. He has the skills to come back at the end of the season but will be less effective. These 2 loses have had a major negative impact on the Cowboys season.
60-Day
2/26/2008 AM
4/7/2008 PM2
Elbow, surgery
Jimmie Gomez SLC - fortunately for Gomez he just signed a long term contract, unfortunately for SLC they own the contract - Gomez is young enough he may rebound from this injury but it will take a year or 2
60-Day
2/16/2008 AM
4/10/2008 PM
Elbow, surgery
Earl Bichette TB - fortunately for Tampa Bichette at 26 should return to form after the injury, the only residual effect may be on his risk of further injury (which was already significant). Tampa had just signed Bichette to a long term contract but their investment may not be impacted long term by this injury.
60-Day
2/28/2008 P
3/25/2008 PM2
Groin, torn muscle
Major Prospect Injuries
Donaldo Fernandez BAL - on the verge of being useful at the ML level as a pine brother/spot starter - recurrent injury issues are a major concern
AAA
60-Day
3/1/2008 AM
3/25/2008 PM2
Ankle, bone bruise
Stephen Graham DOV - projecting to a setup/closer at the ML level this season ending injury will slow his progress
AA
60-Day
2/25/2008 PM2
AM
Elbow, surgery
15-Day
3/5/2008 PM
3/8/2008 PM2
Back, strain
Archie Simpkins CHY Simpkins is a major piece for the Cowboys - fortunately the long term impact on his career is negligible but missing his bat for 25+/- games further hurts the Cowboys
15-Day
3/8/2008 AM
3/16/2008 PM
Rib cage, strained
Fausto Trajano DOV - A minor player for White Cliffs - no impact
15-Day
3/4/2008 PM2
3/11/2008 PM2
Oblique, strained or stiff
Max Samuel JAC -At 36 and fragile Max's career is nearing an end - he may hang on for the year as a pinch hitter
15-Day
3/7/2008 PM2
3/19/2008 PM
Neck, bulging disk
Tim Relaford JAC should return shortly - no impact on his career
15-Day
3/6/2008 PM2
3/9/2008 PM
Neck, stiff/strain
Brian Daniels ROC - a speedster at 1B the injury does not appear to change his status -
15-Day
3/4/2008 AM
3/11/2008 PM
MCL, strained
Shawn Dickson SXF - a significant injury to a younger but injury prone player - this will have an impact on his future. Another injury may end his career. In the last year of a contract he will be a major risk to sign
15-Day
2/25/2008 PM
3/10/2008 AM
Shoulder, sprained
Francis Young CHA - losing your closer is hard - some loss in effectiveness, but when he returns he should pick up where he left off - in the last year of his contract he will be more of a risk to (re)sign.
60-Day
2/29/2008 AM
3/22/2008 PM2
Rotator cuff, sore
Tony Reynoso CHY - ouch, already an injury risk - the medical/training staff will need to handle with care when he returns
60-Day
3/1/2008 PM
3/31/2008 PM2
Elbow, tendinitis
Victor Donovan CHY double ouch, an expensive loss. And a major loss for Donovan himself in next years free agency. He has the skills to come back at the end of the season but will be less effective. These 2 loses have had a major negative impact on the Cowboys season.
60-Day
2/26/2008 AM
4/7/2008 PM2
Elbow, surgery
Jimmie Gomez SLC - fortunately for Gomez he just signed a long term contract, unfortunately for SLC they own the contract - Gomez is young enough he may rebound from this injury but it will take a year or 2
60-Day
2/16/2008 AM
4/10/2008 PM
Elbow, surgery
Earl Bichette TB - fortunately for Tampa Bichette at 26 should return to form after the injury, the only residual effect may be on his risk of further injury (which was already significant). Tampa had just signed Bichette to a long term contract but their investment may not be impacted long term by this injury.
60-Day
2/28/2008 P
3/25/2008 PM2
Groin, torn muscle
Major Prospect Injuries
Donaldo Fernandez BAL - on the verge of being useful at the ML level as a pine brother/spot starter - recurrent injury issues are a major concern
AAA
60-Day
3/1/2008 AM
3/25/2008 PM2
Ankle, bone bruise
Stephen Graham DOV - projecting to a setup/closer at the ML level this season ending injury will slow his progress
AA
60-Day
2/25/2008 PM2
AM
Elbow, surgery
Saturday, March 8, 2008
NL South - Hush Puppy!! Is this party over???
Austin Shiner Bocks - brettm1220 - 30-12 - 2,2,1,1,1,3 - a World Series Ring in year 5 then missing the playoffs - will the real Shiner Bocks please stand up (or did they consume too much of their name sake after the WS and could not stand up). 99M for player salary, 12 coaching, and 17 training does not leave much for scouting and recruiting. The Shiner bocks are playing in the here and now. The ML players on average are young and expensive - and may be getting more so. The Shiner Bocks need to keep them all or keep paying up in the Free Agent market because there is very little in the minors to promote or trade. But for now they are a solid club that appears to have a lock on the NL South. Baring an injury or 3 - then it could get interesting.
Prediction: 1st in the South at 100-62 but not going to the WS.
New Orleans Mardi Gras - bobkordecki - 20-22 - 3,3,2,4,2,1 - 123M in player salary!! and 11M in training & coaching - not much going into the minor league system - New Orleans is living in the here and now in spades. They may also be living in the past. Several quality starters over 30 could use more training than they are getting. They have had significant drops in their abilities. All of them have at least one more year to go on their contract which will compound the issue for New Orleans. A trade to a high training $$ team for a prospect could help both teams involved. If things remain unchanged Mardi Gras will be quickly followed by Ash Wednesday. The fall off in abilities is already resulting in a fall off in team performance. Prediction: 77-85 and out of the playoffs
Tampa Bay Rum Runners - jerichokings - 18-24 - 1,1,3,WC,3,WC - 4 playoffs and no appearances in the league championships - Tampa has been close, but not close enough - 85M but only 11M in training - 20 for prospects - is Tampa in a rebuilding mold?? Doesn't seem right with most of the players under 30. Offense is solid as is the defense (except for catcher) but so far the pitching has been ugly. Losing a #2 starter doesn't help but that was recent and only means that the pitching has gone from bad to worse. When scouting the pitching it seems they should be pitching better - has it been the competition? Is this an "off year". Or is the weakness at catcher showing up in the pitchers performance. Should Jerichoking go after a defensive catcher?? I think Tampa is better than the first quarter has shown - but not good enough to challenge for a division of WC, Prediction: 80-82 and outside looking in.
Jackson Jackelopes - BrianCampos - 16-26 - 4,4,4,3,4,4 - The salary is down from 99M to 60M, training is up from 11M to 19M and scouting is maxed for the draft. BrianCampos is remodeling and building for the future. There are a half a dozen players at the ML level that belong the rest do not and 16-26 is overacheiving. There are a couple of over 30 MLers that could help a challenger that are probably available for a prospect. There is help in the minors but most of it is 2-3 years away. BrianCampos is doing what is necessary but this year is scortched earth - Prediction: 50 - 112
Prediction: 1st in the South at 100-62 but not going to the WS.
New Orleans Mardi Gras - bobkordecki - 20-22 - 3,3,2,4,2,1 - 123M in player salary!! and 11M in training & coaching - not much going into the minor league system - New Orleans is living in the here and now in spades. They may also be living in the past. Several quality starters over 30 could use more training than they are getting. They have had significant drops in their abilities. All of them have at least one more year to go on their contract which will compound the issue for New Orleans. A trade to a high training $$ team for a prospect could help both teams involved. If things remain unchanged Mardi Gras will be quickly followed by Ash Wednesday. The fall off in abilities is already resulting in a fall off in team performance. Prediction: 77-85 and out of the playoffs
Tampa Bay Rum Runners - jerichokings - 18-24 - 1,1,3,WC,3,WC - 4 playoffs and no appearances in the league championships - Tampa has been close, but not close enough - 85M but only 11M in training - 20 for prospects - is Tampa in a rebuilding mold?? Doesn't seem right with most of the players under 30. Offense is solid as is the defense (except for catcher) but so far the pitching has been ugly. Losing a #2 starter doesn't help but that was recent and only means that the pitching has gone from bad to worse. When scouting the pitching it seems they should be pitching better - has it been the competition? Is this an "off year". Or is the weakness at catcher showing up in the pitchers performance. Should Jerichoking go after a defensive catcher?? I think Tampa is better than the first quarter has shown - but not good enough to challenge for a division of WC, Prediction: 80-82 and outside looking in.
Jackson Jackelopes - BrianCampos - 16-26 - 4,4,4,3,4,4 - The salary is down from 99M to 60M, training is up from 11M to 19M and scouting is maxed for the draft. BrianCampos is remodeling and building for the future. There are a half a dozen players at the ML level that belong the rest do not and 16-26 is overacheiving. There are a couple of over 30 MLers that could help a challenger that are probably available for a prospect. There is help in the minors but most of it is 2-3 years away. BrianCampos is doing what is necessary but this year is scortched earth - Prediction: 50 - 112
NL North at the Quarter Pole
PARITY - "a nobel yen, and very restful every now and then"(apologies to Mordred/Camolot), but not very restful for those on a par.
New York Natty Dreads - shakazulu5 - 4,1,WC,3,1,1 - 4 playoffs but no league championships - 95M salary and 15M in Training - Middle tier in offense the Natty Dreads need a bat or two but they are not going to find it in the minors, at least for a year or 2. A couple of the present ML bats might have benefited by a year more in the minors. The Natty Dreads are surviving on pitching, but there is no room for a error, an injury to the #1 or 2 SP will eliminate the Natty Dreads from contention. Does Shakazulu5 mortgage the future by trading off the limited minor league talent to gain the playoffs but another early exit, stand pat and hope for the best, or retrench. Prediction: New York stands pat but misses the playoffs and finishes tied for 2nd/last at 82-80.
Chicago Orphans - New - WC,WC,WC,1,WC,2 - 5 playoffs and no league title appearances - 2nd place will not get a team in this divison to the playoffs, it is going to be win or go home at the end of the season. At 68M and 20 training the Orphans appear to be planning for the future but the future may be now, as the Orphans cornered the player of the week owners this week. The offense is very young and already good - next year they will be very good. The pitching is older and not as accomplished but can get the job done. And there are reserves in the upper minors that can be called up if needed to spell the MLers if injuries occur. This team will be better in the 2nd half of the season than they are now. Prediction - they are THE strong contender for the division title projecting to 94-68 but are a year away from a strong playoff run.
Rochester Genesee - dsmba - 1,WC,1,WC,3,3 - 4 playoffs appearances and no league titles - as previously noted there will not be a WC in this division this year - beat the Orphans or go home. 60M player budget 20M prospects, 18M training - clearly Genesee sees its future in the future, but given the parity in the division could its future be now? The offense is not getting it done and to date dsmba is keeping the future in the minors. The pitching should be better but is being hampered by the defense. The pitching is also older and will be fading in the coming years. This puts dsmba in a tough spot - most of the hitting in the minors needs another year and there is little in the way of arms in the minors. Stand pat and the Orphans run away with the divison in the 2nd half - trade a prospect for a veteran or 2 and take a run at it this year BUT sacrifice some future - and the future in Rochester is not as good as it is in Chicago. Prediction - Genesee stands pat and ties for 2nd/last 82-80
St. Louis Macrobrews - jamier2003 - WC,4,4,4,4,4 - the Macrobrews would be justified in feeling like the doormats of the NL north even though they have been around .500 the last 2 seasons. 70M in player payroll and 18M in training suggest they are on the right track, but are the Orphans and Genesee already ahead of them on this track. There is some quality at the ML level in the positions and the defense is solid. There are bats in the minors but it would be stretching a little to bring them up now. The Orphans have decided to stretch and it may payoff for them, should the Macrobrews do the same? The pitching at the ML level is average and all the pitching in the minors appears flawed (wildness/effectiveness) so there may not be as much help coming in pitching. "the last shall be first" I don't think so, but "the 1st shall be last" or at least tied for it. Prediction: The macrobrews do not bring up their Minor league bats and finish 82-80 in a 3 way tie for 2nd/last. But if the Macrobrews are hanging around .500 at the all-star break and The Orphans have not begun to put the division away some promotions may be in order.
New York Natty Dreads - shakazulu5 - 4,1,WC,3,1,1 - 4 playoffs but no league championships - 95M salary and 15M in Training - Middle tier in offense the Natty Dreads need a bat or two but they are not going to find it in the minors, at least for a year or 2. A couple of the present ML bats might have benefited by a year more in the minors. The Natty Dreads are surviving on pitching, but there is no room for a error, an injury to the #1 or 2 SP will eliminate the Natty Dreads from contention. Does Shakazulu5 mortgage the future by trading off the limited minor league talent to gain the playoffs but another early exit, stand pat and hope for the best, or retrench. Prediction: New York stands pat but misses the playoffs and finishes tied for 2nd/last at 82-80.
Chicago Orphans - New - WC,WC,WC,1,WC,2 - 5 playoffs and no league title appearances - 2nd place will not get a team in this divison to the playoffs, it is going to be win or go home at the end of the season. At 68M and 20 training the Orphans appear to be planning for the future but the future may be now, as the Orphans cornered the player of the week owners this week. The offense is very young and already good - next year they will be very good. The pitching is older and not as accomplished but can get the job done. And there are reserves in the upper minors that can be called up if needed to spell the MLers if injuries occur. This team will be better in the 2nd half of the season than they are now. Prediction - they are THE strong contender for the division title projecting to 94-68 but are a year away from a strong playoff run.
Rochester Genesee - dsmba - 1,WC,1,WC,3,3 - 4 playoffs appearances and no league titles - as previously noted there will not be a WC in this division this year - beat the Orphans or go home. 60M player budget 20M prospects, 18M training - clearly Genesee sees its future in the future, but given the parity in the division could its future be now? The offense is not getting it done and to date dsmba is keeping the future in the minors. The pitching should be better but is being hampered by the defense. The pitching is also older and will be fading in the coming years. This puts dsmba in a tough spot - most of the hitting in the minors needs another year and there is little in the way of arms in the minors. Stand pat and the Orphans run away with the divison in the 2nd half - trade a prospect for a veteran or 2 and take a run at it this year BUT sacrifice some future - and the future in Rochester is not as good as it is in Chicago. Prediction - Genesee stands pat and ties for 2nd/last 82-80
St. Louis Macrobrews - jamier2003 - WC,4,4,4,4,4 - the Macrobrews would be justified in feeling like the doormats of the NL north even though they have been around .500 the last 2 seasons. 70M in player payroll and 18M in training suggest they are on the right track, but are the Orphans and Genesee already ahead of them on this track. There is some quality at the ML level in the positions and the defense is solid. There are bats in the minors but it would be stretching a little to bring them up now. The Orphans have decided to stretch and it may payoff for them, should the Macrobrews do the same? The pitching at the ML level is average and all the pitching in the minors appears flawed (wildness/effectiveness) so there may not be as much help coming in pitching. "the last shall be first" I don't think so, but "the 1st shall be last" or at least tied for it. Prediction: The macrobrews do not bring up their Minor league bats and finish 82-80 in a 3 way tie for 2nd/last. But if the Macrobrews are hanging around .500 at the all-star break and The Orphans have not begun to put the division away some promotions may be in order.
Friday, March 7, 2008
NL west at the quarter pole
(P)review of the NL west at the Quarter pole
San Francisco Alcatraz Sharks 28-12 Owner dbgmpd - 1,2,3,2,WC,WC - The Blue Crabs just finished a close encounter with the Sharks and did not enjoy the event. A 82M budget, an increased training budget, and many of the position starters under 30 indicates the Sharks are going to be solid for several years. The pitching, esp SP, is older and thin - a major injury will have a major negative impact on the Sharks season. The minors are not strong and using prospects to get a needed piece late inthe season may be difficult. All that being said if the Sharks avoid injury they are contenders. A couple of injuries and they are just pretenders.
Oakland Bees 27-13 hshack -4,3,4,4,4,4 - "something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear" - high salary, low training (6M), low medical - the opposite of what most winners are doing. The Bee's are young and talented in the majors and have several minor leaguers that will fill in over the next few years if the low training and medical budgets take their toll on the present MLers. There is 20M in salaries sitting in the minors with contracts that will free up cash when they expire. What hshack does with the cash will be interesting. It would seem the team will be at risk for injuries with training and medical budget but may have the depth to survive it, unless that injury occurs at SP then it is going to be a struggle. So like the Sharks the qustion is contender or pretender. I'm betting on some injuries leading to pretender.
Cheyenne Cowboys 20-20 jonboynky - 3,1,1,1,1,1 and 2 trips to the WS without the cigar - another high salary team but with 14M in training. "Time has come today" - The Cowboys are in their sweet spot. Several of their stars are at their peak and several still on the rise, but in 3 years the peaks will be passing and their is little in the minors. The low scouting budgets and late draft picks will keep the minors barren. So now is the time. Trailing the Sharks and Bees in the division has to be a worry. There is enough strength in the NL North and East that relying on capturing the last WC is a dangerous stradegy. The Cowboys need to run down one of the leaders. Without much in the minors to promote or trade they have to rely on the starters to stay health. This observer bets that the Cowboys training gets them through to a 94-68 record and that one(or both) of the leaders fades a mid season. Prediction WC and then the pitcing carries them a couple rounds in the playoffs.
Salt Lake City Slingers 17-23 mahnk 2,4,2,3,3,3 - hiding in the basement - waiting - 3-5 MLers in AAA and several more in the lower minors. 77M salary but only 10M in training - are the prospects and young MLers going to reach their potential? The Slingers could compete this year if they choose to. If not this year then next year. Do the pieces fit together, that I'm not sure of? I might bring the prospects up at this point and find out. They have spent the necessary 21 days in the minors not to have the present year count towards arbitration. If the pieces don't fit then change them in the off season. If they do fit together it will make life tougher on the leaders. Prediction: If the Slingers keep the young guns in the minors 72-90, if they bring them up early 81-81 but either way they are a year or two away and need to make some adjustments.
San Francisco Alcatraz Sharks 28-12 Owner dbgmpd - 1,2,3,2,WC,WC - The Blue Crabs just finished a close encounter with the Sharks and did not enjoy the event. A 82M budget, an increased training budget, and many of the position starters under 30 indicates the Sharks are going to be solid for several years. The pitching, esp SP, is older and thin - a major injury will have a major negative impact on the Sharks season. The minors are not strong and using prospects to get a needed piece late inthe season may be difficult. All that being said if the Sharks avoid injury they are contenders. A couple of injuries and they are just pretenders.
Oakland Bees 27-13 hshack -4,3,4,4,4,4 - "something happening here, what it is ain't exactly clear" - high salary, low training (6M), low medical - the opposite of what most winners are doing. The Bee's are young and talented in the majors and have several minor leaguers that will fill in over the next few years if the low training and medical budgets take their toll on the present MLers. There is 20M in salaries sitting in the minors with contracts that will free up cash when they expire. What hshack does with the cash will be interesting. It would seem the team will be at risk for injuries with training and medical budget but may have the depth to survive it, unless that injury occurs at SP then it is going to be a struggle. So like the Sharks the qustion is contender or pretender. I'm betting on some injuries leading to pretender.
Cheyenne Cowboys 20-20 jonboynky - 3,1,1,1,1,1 and 2 trips to the WS without the cigar - another high salary team but with 14M in training. "Time has come today" - The Cowboys are in their sweet spot. Several of their stars are at their peak and several still on the rise, but in 3 years the peaks will be passing and their is little in the minors. The low scouting budgets and late draft picks will keep the minors barren. So now is the time. Trailing the Sharks and Bees in the division has to be a worry. There is enough strength in the NL North and East that relying on capturing the last WC is a dangerous stradegy. The Cowboys need to run down one of the leaders. Without much in the minors to promote or trade they have to rely on the starters to stay health. This observer bets that the Cowboys training gets them through to a 94-68 record and that one(or both) of the leaders fades a mid season. Prediction WC and then the pitcing carries them a couple rounds in the playoffs.
Salt Lake City Slingers 17-23 mahnk 2,4,2,3,3,3 - hiding in the basement - waiting - 3-5 MLers in AAA and several more in the lower minors. 77M salary but only 10M in training - are the prospects and young MLers going to reach their potential? The Slingers could compete this year if they choose to. If not this year then next year. Do the pieces fit together, that I'm not sure of? I might bring the prospects up at this point and find out. They have spent the necessary 21 days in the minors not to have the present year count towards arbitration. If the pieces don't fit then change them in the off season. If they do fit together it will make life tougher on the leaders. Prediction: If the Slingers keep the young guns in the minors 72-90, if they bring them up early 81-81 but either way they are a year or two away and need to make some adjustments.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
AL west at the quarter pole
Vancouver Vigilantes - Owner: Crump123 2,1,1,1,WC,1 - has been the big dog in the AL west but has made the League championship only once and never has been the the WS. Player Salaries has been around 75M most years, HS/Col Scouting, Adv Scouting, and training have all been kept at 20M for several years. The question is not whether the Vigilantes will make the playoffs but can they advance. The starting pitchers are older than average and time may be running out on the Team. Catcher and SS are an issue with a rule 5 starter at SS and no prospects apparent in the minors at either position. IF the Vigilantes make the WS the games in the national league parks are going to be an issue, but even the AL games are going to offer the opposing pitcher some easy innings. Through 36 games the Vigilantes are in 1st with a 29-8 record and are the likely division winner but with the weaknesses on the team I do not see them progressing to the WS unless they are active in the trade market and willing to give up some future for a better chance in the present. Predicition 1st 106-56 but out no later than the league championship
Las Vegas Outlaws: Owner tmf12 - the once and ? future Kings of the NL west - 1,2,WC,WC,1,WC - Like Vancouver Las Vegas has 5 trips to the playoffs with not league championships to show for it. At 25-12 they appear headed for another playoff trip - but will it be with the same result? The team can hit (2nd in runs scored), field, and pitcher (3rd in ERA). They are a mixture of veterans who will begin to fade soon and younger stars. The minors are average and well balanced but there are not any budding superstars that could fill in for an injury to a major player. An injury in the starting pitching will send the Outlaws scrambling. If they can avoid injury they do not have the holes in the line up that the Vigilantes have and are a better bet to get to the league championship and even the World Series. Prediction 102-60 WC and out by the league championship (unless they meet Vancouver in which case the go to the WS).
Anaheim Arch Angels: New owner kcg67 - 3,3,3,3,3,3 - Kcg67 could have a multiyear challenge to get out of third and into the playoffs. Unless he gets very aggressive expect a 7th straight year in the 3 hole for Anaheim. With a cut player budget and beefing up the scouting and training the rebuilding process has started, but it could be a chore. There are pieces in the minors but by the time some of these players are ready for the ML some of the present quality MLers will be fading. This observer thinks kcg67 needs to go one way or the other - youth or experience -he could go with youth and try to shed a couple of older players for some AA/AAA ML prospects. Unfortunately there are a dozen other teams that wish to do the same thing. So maybe he should gamble and try to pick off a few quality players and go for the last WC - at 18-19 he is tied for the last WC. Prediction: If kcg67 goes for it and makes a couple of trades for quality he takes down the last WC - if not another "3" on the record.
Santa Cruz Manresa Boys: Newer Owner rockindock -4,4,4,4,4,4- The salary is down but has more to go. There are a couple of MLers left on the parent club but I'm not sure the ML team would win a 7 games series with the minor leagers. Management could move some of the pitchers up this year but the question would be ?why. All it might do to the ML club is loss some draft slots, but it may be time from the player prospective to get this done. There are some MLers that could help another team now - would management trade them off? present record 13-24. Prediction: 60 - 102 - a couple of drafts and maturing prospects away for respectibility.
Las Vegas Outlaws: Owner tmf12 - the once and ? future Kings of the NL west - 1,2,WC,WC,1,WC - Like Vancouver Las Vegas has 5 trips to the playoffs with not league championships to show for it. At 25-12 they appear headed for another playoff trip - but will it be with the same result? The team can hit (2nd in runs scored), field, and pitcher (3rd in ERA). They are a mixture of veterans who will begin to fade soon and younger stars. The minors are average and well balanced but there are not any budding superstars that could fill in for an injury to a major player. An injury in the starting pitching will send the Outlaws scrambling. If they can avoid injury they do not have the holes in the line up that the Vigilantes have and are a better bet to get to the league championship and even the World Series. Prediction 102-60 WC and out by the league championship (unless they meet Vancouver in which case the go to the WS).
Anaheim Arch Angels: New owner kcg67 - 3,3,3,3,3,3 - Kcg67 could have a multiyear challenge to get out of third and into the playoffs. Unless he gets very aggressive expect a 7th straight year in the 3 hole for Anaheim. With a cut player budget and beefing up the scouting and training the rebuilding process has started, but it could be a chore. There are pieces in the minors but by the time some of these players are ready for the ML some of the present quality MLers will be fading. This observer thinks kcg67 needs to go one way or the other - youth or experience -he could go with youth and try to shed a couple of older players for some AA/AAA ML prospects. Unfortunately there are a dozen other teams that wish to do the same thing. So maybe he should gamble and try to pick off a few quality players and go for the last WC - at 18-19 he is tied for the last WC. Prediction: If kcg67 goes for it and makes a couple of trades for quality he takes down the last WC - if not another "3" on the record.
Santa Cruz Manresa Boys: Newer Owner rockindock -4,4,4,4,4,4- The salary is down but has more to go. There are a couple of MLers left on the parent club but I'm not sure the ML team would win a 7 games series with the minor leagers. Management could move some of the pitchers up this year but the question would be ?why. All it might do to the ML club is loss some draft slots, but it may be time from the player prospective to get this done. There are some MLers that could help another team now - would management trade them off? present record 13-24. Prediction: 60 - 102 - a couple of drafts and maturing prospects away for respectibility.
Monday, March 3, 2008
AL South Predictions
The AL South is Charlottes division. They have controlled it the last 5 seasons and are in control again this season. Richmond should come in second this season but look like they will miss the playoffs. Florida appears to be making progress but is lacking pieces on offense to make a legitimate run. KC will be pulling up the rear here. I see some puzzling things going on in KC.
Charlotte comets (S6: 106-56 1st place, WS winner: projection S7:115- 47 )
agrybaus- 7(2 WS; 5 straight division titles); $100m Player Salary
Additions: None (not Phillip Reagan)
Losses: Alex Andujar (SP),
Overall Preview: Well writing this part way into the season it is safe to say this team is good. They should win this division going away. 12 games in and they have an 8 game lead. The offense is stacked with a silver slugger at just about every position. The rotation is just as good and the pen is solid.
Offense: Six all stars provide the core of the offense and the remaining 3 batters get overshadowed because of the greatness of the first 6. Mike Hayes is an offensive force at DH. C Jamie Lofton should not hit but it really doesn’t matter. hit Albert Escobar, a natural SS, covers 2b and is an imposing presence and could win an mvp if not for… LFSantiago Nieves is the presence in the middle of the lineup. SS Benji Groom is in the lineup more for his glove than his bat, but he still hits his fair share out. Vic Hill, a natural SS, covers 3b and could finish 3rd in the MVP race…unless of course CF Raul Cortez slugs his way into the top 4. RF Alex Sanchez could be the best play on several teams, here he is about the 6th best, and for that he will hit 30+ hr and bat over .300. There is an allstar at every position even bench where Gabriel and Martin are pulling in big checks, a combined $12m for watching.
Defense: This team has 3 natural ss playing various positions. Lofton has about the highest pc I have seen. And Cortez is solid in CF. LF and RF are about league average but again their bats make them great.
Rotation: This rotation has 3 Cy Young candidates, another ace and a solid contributor with suspect control. Shibata, Russell and Johnson may battle each other for the cy young award and could all win 20+ games. How Joe Russell was resigned for a contract that average $5.5m per season is beyond me. Damaso Perez very likely will win 20 games not only because of the offense but because he has skills too. Buchanan is a good #5, on many staffs he could be a #3.
Bullpen: The pen is good as well. Wilson and Farley do a solid job bridging the gap (when there is a gap to bridge). Whang and Downs set it up and Young is a premiere closer. Good stuff. Oh there are 3 other quality arms too.
The Farm: SS Hugh Stoops and CF Antone Zaun could step in immediately if needed. Omar Olivo is a stud catcher, but will be limited to about 350 AB. LF Lariel Felix and LF Roger Jones are both a ways off but should contribute on the ML level at some point. Harry Pena is a future Rolaids reliever candidate. Vic Alou, Jose Moreno, and Mario Haney will be a solid ML contributors
X-Factor: Playoff performance. This team is the front runner to represent the AL in the WS. A lot of that depends on how his stars produce in the post season. This team has so many stars though it will not fall on the shoulders of just one player.
Richmond Rounders (S6: 83-79 2nd place: S7: 81-81 )
Dblaine Owner since season 1; $54.8 Player Salary
Additions: SP Esteban Romano, RP Vic Almanza, RP Jamie Monroe
Losses: 1b Guillermo Flores,
Overall Preview: This team is an interesting one to look at. There are some aging stars and developing prospects. The $54m player’s salary allows for the funds to be allocated elsewhere. The core group is solid they just lack the star power to really drive the offense and staff. They will be middle of the pack. Moving forward they are top heavy with DH and 1b prospects and could benefit by flipping these for position prospects, especially at key defensive positions. There are some very good sp prospects down on the farm. As a whole I say 81 and 81 but I could see them pushing to 88 wins but not more.
Offense: Old pros C Marcus Haywood is the team captain and the heart and soul of this team. He is a solid bat and should hit a ton, despite showing some signs of slippage at 31. 3b Thomas Pena is a rising star. 2b Norberto Alomar, 3b Brian Zhang and SS Red Sanford represent the other major contributors
Defense: Red Sanford is a solid defender up the middle. Short of that the defense looks to be on the lower half the spectrum. There is some potential at a few positions but with a 60 glove at this point Alomar has potential to make a ton of errors at 2b. Corey Denham will call most games from behind the plate and he is a good catch and throw type backstop who knows how to work the hitters strengths and weaknesses when calling a game.
Rotation: On the Mound I count 7 potential starter Dougherty, Watson, Nunnari, Shibata, Romano represent the 5 main guys and all are solid. Watson is the best of the bunch but is getting older.
Bullpen: All pieces of the bullpen are solid. None stand out as great but none are your typical mop up types. Mathews is the closer but at 35 is showing his age. Jamie Monroe looks like he can develop into the best reliever of the group.
The Farm: Miguel Alomar projects to be pretty good but is he a starter or reliever? Miguel Cruz however will be very good, and would be one of Richmond’s best ML starters right now. Miguel Gardel projects to be just as good but is a ways off still. 3b Appier will make an impact down the line. Taubensee, Romano and Stephens are going to be very good DH. LF Lincoln is ready to go on the majors now. Alvin Hernandez will be a masher at 1b soon.
X-Factor: Team defense! The pitchers will underperform as long as the defense continues to drop routine balls. They lack the range at some key positions as well.
Kansas City NQ Pilots(S6: 76-86 3rd place: projected record S7: 58-104 )
threester- 2nd season ; $81.4 Player Salary
Additions: Victor Ruffin (SP); Archie Tracy (rp); Scot Reed (1b); Guillermo Flores (1b/C); Anthony Charles (rp); Buddy Person (CL); Omar Ramirez (SS); Lyle Evans (3b); Jose Lira (2b); Herbert Perry (LF)
Losses: Vic Almanza (rp)
Overall Preview: This team is interesting to look at. They have 7 players who are either 1b, DH, LF or RF on the roster. There is no true catcher, although Flores would do the job. The 2b, Mark Roosevelt has decent range but no glove and the SS has below range and glove. There is also no true CF. The offense is ok but lacks a superstar and lacks depth. About $18 million was spent this offseason retooling the roster, which leads me to ask, is it better to spend and lose or not spend and lose?
Offense: On offense the most reliable pieces are 1b Endy Leiter, lf Giovanni Nye, and 2b Tracie McMillon. Nye and McMillon are still developing and look like they will get better. SS Omar Miro is average in every way, except paycheck where he will collect $7.1m this season. Overall this team will struggle to score runs.
Defense: The defense, as pointed out in the general preview is unique. While most teams load up on SS, 2b and CF, Threester has focused on cornering the market on 1b and corner of. There is no true CF on the roster and the team lacks range.
Rotation: Archie Tracey is the highlight of the pitching staff. He is a very good closer, sadly there have been few opportunities for him. Byung-Hyun Chang, and Buddy Person do a good job setting it up for him. I like Miguel Flores but with that D behind him he is going to struggle. He is not the type of pitcher to blow batters away but more the type to rely on ground balls. Ooops. Overall the whole pitching staff is slanted towards inducing grounders. This is a recipe for disaster. Anthony Chalres has a durability of 0 and pitched in the RL last season. There are 3 players under 30 years old here so an overhaul is on the way.
The Farm: SP OT Relaford and Milt Rivers are better than several ML SP. There are 4 P at AA, that is total not 4 worth watching. There are 7 at LoA, one is worth watching Miguel Hernandez will be very good, provided he is not burnt out. SP Dwight Scott is a legit ML prospect who at 23 is wasting time in the RL. Same thing about RF Eduardo Coronado. C Geoff Martin has potential to be a good player. C Odalis Blasco will make a solid DH. Not many positions guys worth writing home about.
X-Factor: The defense. This team is geared towards bringing on grounders but the D is geared towards dropping them. Not a good mix. I expect a last place finish here.
Florida Orlocks (S6: 69-93 last place: projected record S7:78-86 )
Nosferatu- 7 seasons; $73.9 Player Salary
Additions: SP Ahmed King;
Losses: Non worth noting
Overall Preview: The pitching staff and defense will hold this team in a lot of games. The offense may not score many runs though and it will hurt. This team needs about three more abts to really put something together.
Offense: The offense is led by SS David Viriato. At 23 he is good and looks like he could be much better. Thumper Smith will pound lefties but may struggle against certain righties. Placido Astacio is the third key player on offense. After the three of them there are holes. The team is young with only three players at the ML level who are over 30.
Defense: This team is built around defense. They will get to a lot of balls and keep the staff in most games. Don Koh is a very good game caller, sadly he hits like Charlie O’Brien.
Rotation: I count 12 starters and 1 long reliever on the staff. All of them get the ball over the plate. With that defense supporting him, Carl Mlicki should be the anchor of this rotation for a long time, he may end up with a a lot of ND’s this season though as the offense may not come to his support. J.T. Peterson, Olmedo Perez and Al Cust look like the other bright sports in this rotation.
The Farm: SP Whitey Donatello is waiting for his shot at AAA. Matty Velazquez will be a very good ml reliever. HiA C Darrel Vernonhas potential. AAA LF Louis Bates also may make an impact in the majors. Overall there is a lack of depth in the Florida minor league system.
X-Factor: David Viriato; Can the future MVP produce enough to get this team to .500? There is a lack of pieces around him and he cannot do it by himself
Charlotte comets (S6: 106-56 1st place, WS winner: projection S7:115- 47 )
agrybaus- 7(2 WS; 5 straight division titles); $100m Player Salary
Additions: None (not Phillip Reagan)
Losses: Alex Andujar (SP),
Overall Preview: Well writing this part way into the season it is safe to say this team is good. They should win this division going away. 12 games in and they have an 8 game lead. The offense is stacked with a silver slugger at just about every position. The rotation is just as good and the pen is solid.
Offense: Six all stars provide the core of the offense and the remaining 3 batters get overshadowed because of the greatness of the first 6. Mike Hayes is an offensive force at DH. C Jamie Lofton should not hit but it really doesn’t matter. hit Albert Escobar, a natural SS, covers 2b and is an imposing presence and could win an mvp if not for… LFSantiago Nieves is the presence in the middle of the lineup. SS Benji Groom is in the lineup more for his glove than his bat, but he still hits his fair share out. Vic Hill, a natural SS, covers 3b and could finish 3rd in the MVP race…unless of course CF Raul Cortez slugs his way into the top 4. RF Alex Sanchez could be the best play on several teams, here he is about the 6th best, and for that he will hit 30+ hr and bat over .300. There is an allstar at every position even bench where Gabriel and Martin are pulling in big checks, a combined $12m for watching.
Defense: This team has 3 natural ss playing various positions. Lofton has about the highest pc I have seen. And Cortez is solid in CF. LF and RF are about league average but again their bats make them great.
Rotation: This rotation has 3 Cy Young candidates, another ace and a solid contributor with suspect control. Shibata, Russell and Johnson may battle each other for the cy young award and could all win 20+ games. How Joe Russell was resigned for a contract that average $5.5m per season is beyond me. Damaso Perez very likely will win 20 games not only because of the offense but because he has skills too. Buchanan is a good #5, on many staffs he could be a #3.
Bullpen: The pen is good as well. Wilson and Farley do a solid job bridging the gap (when there is a gap to bridge). Whang and Downs set it up and Young is a premiere closer. Good stuff. Oh there are 3 other quality arms too.
The Farm: SS Hugh Stoops and CF Antone Zaun could step in immediately if needed. Omar Olivo is a stud catcher, but will be limited to about 350 AB. LF Lariel Felix and LF Roger Jones are both a ways off but should contribute on the ML level at some point. Harry Pena is a future Rolaids reliever candidate. Vic Alou, Jose Moreno, and Mario Haney will be a solid ML contributors
X-Factor: Playoff performance. This team is the front runner to represent the AL in the WS. A lot of that depends on how his stars produce in the post season. This team has so many stars though it will not fall on the shoulders of just one player.
Richmond Rounders (S6: 83-79 2nd place: S7: 81-81 )
Dblaine Owner since season 1; $54.8 Player Salary
Additions: SP Esteban Romano, RP Vic Almanza, RP Jamie Monroe
Losses: 1b Guillermo Flores,
Overall Preview: This team is an interesting one to look at. There are some aging stars and developing prospects. The $54m player’s salary allows for the funds to be allocated elsewhere. The core group is solid they just lack the star power to really drive the offense and staff. They will be middle of the pack. Moving forward they are top heavy with DH and 1b prospects and could benefit by flipping these for position prospects, especially at key defensive positions. There are some very good sp prospects down on the farm. As a whole I say 81 and 81 but I could see them pushing to 88 wins but not more.
Offense: Old pros C Marcus Haywood is the team captain and the heart and soul of this team. He is a solid bat and should hit a ton, despite showing some signs of slippage at 31. 3b Thomas Pena is a rising star. 2b Norberto Alomar, 3b Brian Zhang and SS Red Sanford represent the other major contributors
Defense: Red Sanford is a solid defender up the middle. Short of that the defense looks to be on the lower half the spectrum. There is some potential at a few positions but with a 60 glove at this point Alomar has potential to make a ton of errors at 2b. Corey Denham will call most games from behind the plate and he is a good catch and throw type backstop who knows how to work the hitters strengths and weaknesses when calling a game.
Rotation: On the Mound I count 7 potential starter Dougherty, Watson, Nunnari, Shibata, Romano represent the 5 main guys and all are solid. Watson is the best of the bunch but is getting older.
Bullpen: All pieces of the bullpen are solid. None stand out as great but none are your typical mop up types. Mathews is the closer but at 35 is showing his age. Jamie Monroe looks like he can develop into the best reliever of the group.
The Farm: Miguel Alomar projects to be pretty good but is he a starter or reliever? Miguel Cruz however will be very good, and would be one of Richmond’s best ML starters right now. Miguel Gardel projects to be just as good but is a ways off still. 3b Appier will make an impact down the line. Taubensee, Romano and Stephens are going to be very good DH. LF Lincoln is ready to go on the majors now. Alvin Hernandez will be a masher at 1b soon.
X-Factor: Team defense! The pitchers will underperform as long as the defense continues to drop routine balls. They lack the range at some key positions as well.
Kansas City NQ Pilots(S6: 76-86 3rd place: projected record S7: 58-104 )
threester- 2nd season ; $81.4 Player Salary
Additions: Victor Ruffin (SP); Archie Tracy (rp); Scot Reed (1b); Guillermo Flores (1b/C); Anthony Charles (rp); Buddy Person (CL); Omar Ramirez (SS); Lyle Evans (3b); Jose Lira (2b); Herbert Perry (LF)
Losses: Vic Almanza (rp)
Overall Preview: This team is interesting to look at. They have 7 players who are either 1b, DH, LF or RF on the roster. There is no true catcher, although Flores would do the job. The 2b, Mark Roosevelt has decent range but no glove and the SS has below range and glove. There is also no true CF. The offense is ok but lacks a superstar and lacks depth. About $18 million was spent this offseason retooling the roster, which leads me to ask, is it better to spend and lose or not spend and lose?
Offense: On offense the most reliable pieces are 1b Endy Leiter, lf Giovanni Nye, and 2b Tracie McMillon. Nye and McMillon are still developing and look like they will get better. SS Omar Miro is average in every way, except paycheck where he will collect $7.1m this season. Overall this team will struggle to score runs.
Defense: The defense, as pointed out in the general preview is unique. While most teams load up on SS, 2b and CF, Threester has focused on cornering the market on 1b and corner of. There is no true CF on the roster and the team lacks range.
Rotation: Archie Tracey is the highlight of the pitching staff. He is a very good closer, sadly there have been few opportunities for him. Byung-Hyun Chang, and Buddy Person do a good job setting it up for him. I like Miguel Flores but with that D behind him he is going to struggle. He is not the type of pitcher to blow batters away but more the type to rely on ground balls. Ooops. Overall the whole pitching staff is slanted towards inducing grounders. This is a recipe for disaster. Anthony Chalres has a durability of 0 and pitched in the RL last season. There are 3 players under 30 years old here so an overhaul is on the way.
The Farm: SP OT Relaford and Milt Rivers are better than several ML SP. There are 4 P at AA, that is total not 4 worth watching. There are 7 at LoA, one is worth watching Miguel Hernandez will be very good, provided he is not burnt out. SP Dwight Scott is a legit ML prospect who at 23 is wasting time in the RL. Same thing about RF Eduardo Coronado. C Geoff Martin has potential to be a good player. C Odalis Blasco will make a solid DH. Not many positions guys worth writing home about.
X-Factor: The defense. This team is geared towards bringing on grounders but the D is geared towards dropping them. Not a good mix. I expect a last place finish here.
Florida Orlocks (S6: 69-93 last place: projected record S7:78-86 )
Nosferatu- 7 seasons; $73.9 Player Salary
Additions: SP Ahmed King;
Losses: Non worth noting
Overall Preview: The pitching staff and defense will hold this team in a lot of games. The offense may not score many runs though and it will hurt. This team needs about three more abts to really put something together.
Offense: The offense is led by SS David Viriato. At 23 he is good and looks like he could be much better. Thumper Smith will pound lefties but may struggle against certain righties. Placido Astacio is the third key player on offense. After the three of them there are holes. The team is young with only three players at the ML level who are over 30.
Defense: This team is built around defense. They will get to a lot of balls and keep the staff in most games. Don Koh is a very good game caller, sadly he hits like Charlie O’Brien.
Rotation: I count 12 starters and 1 long reliever on the staff. All of them get the ball over the plate. With that defense supporting him, Carl Mlicki should be the anchor of this rotation for a long time, he may end up with a a lot of ND’s this season though as the offense may not come to his support. J.T. Peterson, Olmedo Perez and Al Cust look like the other bright sports in this rotation.
The Farm: SP Whitey Donatello is waiting for his shot at AAA. Matty Velazquez will be a very good ml reliever. HiA C Darrel Vernonhas potential. AAA LF Louis Bates also may make an impact in the majors. Overall there is a lack of depth in the Florida minor league system.
X-Factor: David Viriato; Can the future MVP produce enough to get this team to .500? There is a lack of pieces around him and he cannot do it by himself
Saturday, March 1, 2008
AL east continued
Boston - 1,1,2,2 (kcg67) - new owner jdrake27 3,2 (77-85) - The Brontoraptors have gone the high payroll route (103M) sacrificing the International free agent market and to a lesser degree high school scouting. At the ML level the position players are average across the board with the exception of a critical need at Catcher. None of these players are past their prime and can serve as a solid nucleus to improve on. Besides Catching the short stop position is most in need of attention. Starting Pitching is solid and the addition of an excellent pitch calling/defensive catcher, who can also hit, would be highly valuable. The relief corp is suspect and late inning 1-2 run loses are likely to be numerous. The ML pitching coaches are appropriate for the pitchers skills. In this observers opinion a quality catcher and a closer/RP are what this team needs to get over .500. Help at SS defensively is available in AAA or AA for next year but catcher and closer are a black whole through out the minors. There is one future star in the minors - Clay Lane. A trade seems the only near term solution. Prediction: No trade and Boston battles the other 2 teams for last - Acquire a quality catcher and closer/RP and >.500 with an outside shot at a wild card (depending on the strenght of the other divisions). At present 3rdT (no 2nd place team) 74-88.
Dover White Cliffs: 2,3 - new owner carnivore 3,1,1,1 - Carnivore has build the white cliffs into the power of the AL east. Despite their success the salary base is still low (76M) and training high (20M). The ML offense is playoff caliber with the exception of the OF (look for trade action at these positions). The pitching is suspect. Whether new acquisition long ball prone (which is what led to him not being resigned in Baltimore) Ryan Allen will be an improvement is debatable(Dover plays in a + HR park) . If the SP can get to the 7th with the lead the relief corp will probably hold on to it. This is not good news for the other teams in the division. There are some position players in the minors that could marginally upgrade the outfield this year or next but after that things are very light. The same can be said for the pitching - clearly the best chance of winning for Dover is the next 3 years. They have enough to easily win the division but I do not believe they have either the hitting or pitching to get through the playoffs to the World Series. Prediction 1st place at 98 -64 but disappointment in the playoffs.
Dover White Cliffs: 2,3 - new owner carnivore 3,1,1,1 - Carnivore has build the white cliffs into the power of the AL east. Despite their success the salary base is still low (76M) and training high (20M). The ML offense is playoff caliber with the exception of the OF (look for trade action at these positions). The pitching is suspect. Whether new acquisition long ball prone (which is what led to him not being resigned in Baltimore) Ryan Allen will be an improvement is debatable(Dover plays in a + HR park) . If the SP can get to the 7th with the lead the relief corp will probably hold on to it. This is not good news for the other teams in the division. There are some position players in the minors that could marginally upgrade the outfield this year or next but after that things are very light. The same can be said for the pitching - clearly the best chance of winning for Dover is the next 3 years. They have enough to easily win the division but I do not believe they have either the hitting or pitching to get through the playoffs to the World Series. Prediction 1st place at 98 -64 but disappointment in the playoffs.
Friday, February 29, 2008
NL east review
well, I was half way through the NL North before I realized it was not the east - so here goes on the real east.
Philadelphia Phantoms: 3,2,1,3 - newowner vkhcougars 4,4 -- Philadelphia is in the midst of a rebuild. vhkcougars took over the franchise in season 5 and went directly into rebuild mold. Player payroll is down to 77M and training is now up. The 4 off season trades were all aimed at building the minors and should not impact the ML roster this year with the possible exception of C Cashman at AAA (acquired from the Blue Crabs). However the free agent pitching signing indicate that Philadelphia intends to win more in the coming year than in the past. That being said competing for the division title or a wild card is a feww players off and may require whating for last years and this yars draft and International FAs to mature. Positions with major league caliber or future ML Caliber players are CF, RF, SS, 3B, C and of these CF Tony Chong at 33 may not see the return of Philadelphia to competitive status. AAA has future MLB players at 3B and 2B but no stars and AA iwill not help the parent club. there is much work yet to do. Prediction 4th and 72 wins.
Toledo Chicken Hawks: 4,4,4,4,2,3 - Cladouceur had been slowly moving this team up the standings until a set back in year 6. The player budget has been brought down to 70M as the team puts more effort into scouting and training to improve the on field product. The Chicken Hawks one off season trade sent a journeyman pitcher to the Blue Crabs for a RF prospect with ML potential though not star potential. They did not sign any ML free agents. At the ML level th Infield is ML quality and average on net defense. The Outfield is AAA quality and may be pushed shortly by the players presently at AAA. The position players in the lower minors are limited with only 2 or 3 likely to impact the majors. Pitching is an issue at all levels but the situation in AAA is most critical - the AAA players have the most potential but have control issues. The AAA pitching coach has NO DISCIPLINE. These pitchers need to move back to AA (pitching coach with high discipline) or up to the ML where the pitching and bullpen coaches have average discipline. The future of the Chicken Hawks for the next 2 years may ride on how this is resolved. Unfortunately I can not see the Hawks returning to a winning record without the addition of one or 2 prospects with quality pitches and good control. This should be the focus of any acquisitions. Prediction 3rdT and 74 wins IF there is some improvement in pitching. Otherwise the Hawks may find themselves in 4th.
Boston and Dover to follow in a day or 2
Philadelphia Phantoms: 3,2,1,3 - newowner vkhcougars 4,4 -- Philadelphia is in the midst of a rebuild. vhkcougars took over the franchise in season 5 and went directly into rebuild mold. Player payroll is down to 77M and training is now up. The 4 off season trades were all aimed at building the minors and should not impact the ML roster this year with the possible exception of C Cashman at AAA (acquired from the Blue Crabs). However the free agent pitching signing indicate that Philadelphia intends to win more in the coming year than in the past. That being said competing for the division title or a wild card is a feww players off and may require whating for last years and this yars draft and International FAs to mature. Positions with major league caliber or future ML Caliber players are CF, RF, SS, 3B, C and of these CF Tony Chong at 33 may not see the return of Philadelphia to competitive status. AAA has future MLB players at 3B and 2B but no stars and AA iwill not help the parent club. there is much work yet to do. Prediction 4th and 72 wins.
Toledo Chicken Hawks: 4,4,4,4,2,3 - Cladouceur had been slowly moving this team up the standings until a set back in year 6. The player budget has been brought down to 70M as the team puts more effort into scouting and training to improve the on field product. The Chicken Hawks one off season trade sent a journeyman pitcher to the Blue Crabs for a RF prospect with ML potential though not star potential. They did not sign any ML free agents. At the ML level th Infield is ML quality and average on net defense. The Outfield is AAA quality and may be pushed shortly by the players presently at AAA. The position players in the lower minors are limited with only 2 or 3 likely to impact the majors. Pitching is an issue at all levels but the situation in AAA is most critical - the AAA players have the most potential but have control issues. The AAA pitching coach has NO DISCIPLINE. These pitchers need to move back to AA (pitching coach with high discipline) or up to the ML where the pitching and bullpen coaches have average discipline. The future of the Chicken Hawks for the next 2 years may ride on how this is resolved. Unfortunately I can not see the Hawks returning to a winning record without the addition of one or 2 prospects with quality pitches and good control. This should be the focus of any acquisitions. Prediction 3rdT and 74 wins IF there is some improvement in pitching. Otherwise the Hawks may find themselves in 4th.
Boston and Dover to follow in a day or 2
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
AL North Season 7 Preview
Detroit is again the early favorite in the AL North having won this division four of the six seasons, along with two World Series titles in the process. Pawtucket, coming off a wild card season, will be the main competitor- just as they are each year. Meanwhile, Buffalo and Sioux Falls aren't too far behind the front-runners, but both teams will be hard pressed to compete for the division or the wild card in season 7.
Here are the team outlooks with last season's record, followed by projections for season 7 (teams listed in order of last season's finish):
Detroit EliteDetroitDucks
Payroll: $97.4M
(S6: 87-75, 1st place, beat Las Vegas in 1st Round, lost to Vancouver in Div Series; S7: 89-73, 1st place)
Key Additions: SP Peter Dong, 3B Bingo Flynn
Key Losses: 2B Jose Quixote, RP Geoffery Tunkel
The EliteDetroitDucks didn't make any significant changes this off-season and will aim to make a sixth playoff appearance in seven seasons. The addition of Peter Dong adds depth to a pitching staff that had plenty of it already. But while there are several possible starters, nobody has proven to be a true stopper. If Juan Barrios can cut down on the HRs allowed he may become that ace. The closer situation is a huge question mark, as Dwight Mullen will begin the season in that role.
Similar to their pitching, the Ducks' hitting is solid but won't wow you very often. The headliner is young 1B Reagan Basile, fresh off an insane .399 season. Right behind him is big swinging LF Reginald O'Brien.
The bats should give the pitching some fairly consistent run support, but that may not be enough to do much more than last season. The lack of superstars on the hill means Detroit will need at least four reliable pitchers to step up for the starting role. Despite that, the Ducks should be able to hold off Pawtucket this season and earn another division crown.
X-Factor: Detroit is hoping that season 6 acquisition Tony Concepcion can return to his all-star season 5 form. If so, he can provide protection for Basille and O'Brien giving this lineup another big threat.
Pawtucket Paw Paws
Payroll: $78M
(S6: 84-78, 2nd place, lost to Charlotte in 1st Round; S7: 85-77)
Key Additions: SP Hipolito Ordonez, RP Derrick Sauveur
Key Losses: SS/3B Giomar Rivas, SP Olmedo Perez
Ordonez joins a largely unknown rotation. He's a good young pitcher who will benefit from the solid Paw Paw defense that helps lower ERAs. Like Detroit, they have several possible starters but lack any big names. Pawtucket is counting on young Harry Diaz to show the potential that earned him a long-term contract this offseason, and return to a starter's role. The bullpen is filled with veterans who need to do just enough to pass the baton to closer Mitch Jenkins.
Pawtucket's hitters will give some consistent run support, but need to make up for the loss of Rivas with their young talent. All-Star 1B Eric Clifton and power hitting OF Valerio Contreras provide a potent middle of the order, but ultimately the success of this offense may rely on the production of the remaining 2/3 of the lineup.
Dealing Rivas and shopping Contreras screams "rebuilding year", but the Paw Paws still have the manpower to make another playoff run. The question is will they be willing to add an impact player come mid-season if they're in the playoff race. They have the parts right now to win the division, but probably not to make a deep run in the playoffs.
X-Factors: Management is counting on rookie 3B Jolbert Uribe to improve upon his already impressive stint in the bigs last season. They'll need him to help offset the loss of Rivas by adding some punch to the middle of this lineup.
Buffalo Chips
Payroll: $57.8M
(S6: 76-86, 3rd place; S7: 72-90, 4th place)
Key Additions: SP Ken Hafner
Key Losses: DH Pedro Beltre, 3B Benji Dixon
Buffalo may need pitching to carry them if they are to break the string of four straight sub-.500, 3rd place finishes. The Chips young rotation is led by 15-game winners Adam Ramsay and Larry White. If Harry Gandarillas can stay healthy, he'll make this a truly intimidating rotation. Hafner adds depth to a bullpen that has some holes, and with the young offense the relievers will be called upon in many late inning nail-biters.
The Chips' offense will cause Buffalo fans to be cautiously optimistic. They're starting two rookies and three more youngsters with only one year of big league ball, so expecting this lineup to break out this season may not be realistic. But they certainly have the potential to do some damage once they get acclimated to pro ball. After letting most of last season's regulars go, Sockless Joe (Shoeless' great nephew) is selling fans on the hope that they can put it together sooner rather than later. The only proven threat in the lineup is veteran DH Derek Adams. If they can find a way to score consistently, this team will turn some heads.
The season will prove difficult for the Chips to become contenders, as they'll need steady play from many unproven players. If they can keep the core of the pitching staff intact while this young offense develops, the Chips could be a couple moves away from making a deep playoff run. But if Buffalo is out of the race this year and the contenders come-a-calling with some tempting prospects, will they be able to resist? Looks like the young guys may answer that question as the season unfolds.
X-Factor: Leadoff hitter, and SS, Vince Simmons needs to get on base much more than last season to keep some ducks on the pond for the middle of the order. If he can improve on his power numbers from last year, expect to see him move to the 2- or 3-hole to give the lineup more punch.
Sioux Falls Canaries
Payroll: $73.9M
(S6: 71-91, 4th place; S7: 78-84, 3rd place)
Key Additions: LF Bubbles Richard, SP Harry Moya
Key Losses: RP Christopher Spencer
Gaheel is looking to stabilize a franchise that has been plagued by rotating ownership and five last place finishes out of six seasons. The Canaries bring back much of the same pitching staff that allowed the fourth least runs in the AL last season. Alex Bravo will head the rotation in only his second full season in the bigs, and Moya is a great addition to throw in this pitcher-friendly park. Sioux Falls will need last year's tough-luck 15-game loser Bucky Anderson to earn his huge contract by giving 200+ IP. There is a nice mix of veteran and young relievers. After a phenomenal season with 150+ IP coming out of the pen, Bey Hamilton will become the closer with the ability to pitch the eighth and ninth. They'll need to hold any leads this offense can provide.
How did a team with the fourth best pitching finish last in the division? Because Sioux Falls scored more runs than only two other AL teams. Unfortunately for Canaries' fans, not much has changed this off-season. There is speed at the top of the order, starting with one of the best names in the game, 2B Jose Jose, followed by Bruce Wells. Those two should get on, but the lineup lacks power. The big bat belongs to aging veteran DH Johan Faulkner, who needs to forget a disappointing season 6 for this team to succeed. The bench is not very deep, so the reliable vets must stay healthy.
With the Canaries' pitching and defense, they'll be in most games in the late innings. But to make a run at the playoffs, they desperately need some of their young position players to produce. Expect to see plenty of small ball, which Sioux Falls will need to use effectively to improve on a 14-24 record in 1-run games last season. A lot has to align for this team to get to the playoffs as is, so if they're close look to see Gaheel in trade talks looking for someone to drive in runs.
X-Factor: Acquired in the Spencer trade, new LF Bubbles Richard will be counted upon to be a big run producer at the heart of this lineup. As Faulkner ages his power will also slip, but he should still get on base. The table will be set, now Bubbles just needs to come through.
Here are the team outlooks with last season's record, followed by projections for season 7 (teams listed in order of last season's finish):
Detroit EliteDetroitDucks
Payroll: $97.4M
(S6: 87-75, 1st place, beat Las Vegas in 1st Round, lost to Vancouver in Div Series; S7: 89-73, 1st place)
Key Additions: SP Peter Dong, 3B Bingo Flynn
Key Losses: 2B Jose Quixote, RP Geoffery Tunkel
The EliteDetroitDucks didn't make any significant changes this off-season and will aim to make a sixth playoff appearance in seven seasons. The addition of Peter Dong adds depth to a pitching staff that had plenty of it already. But while there are several possible starters, nobody has proven to be a true stopper. If Juan Barrios can cut down on the HRs allowed he may become that ace. The closer situation is a huge question mark, as Dwight Mullen will begin the season in that role.
Similar to their pitching, the Ducks' hitting is solid but won't wow you very often. The headliner is young 1B Reagan Basile, fresh off an insane .399 season. Right behind him is big swinging LF Reginald O'Brien.
The bats should give the pitching some fairly consistent run support, but that may not be enough to do much more than last season. The lack of superstars on the hill means Detroit will need at least four reliable pitchers to step up for the starting role. Despite that, the Ducks should be able to hold off Pawtucket this season and earn another division crown.
X-Factor: Detroit is hoping that season 6 acquisition Tony Concepcion can return to his all-star season 5 form. If so, he can provide protection for Basille and O'Brien giving this lineup another big threat.
Pawtucket Paw Paws
Payroll: $78M
(S6: 84-78, 2nd place, lost to Charlotte in 1st Round; S7: 85-77)
Key Additions: SP Hipolito Ordonez, RP Derrick Sauveur
Key Losses: SS/3B Giomar Rivas, SP Olmedo Perez
Ordonez joins a largely unknown rotation. He's a good young pitcher who will benefit from the solid Paw Paw defense that helps lower ERAs. Like Detroit, they have several possible starters but lack any big names. Pawtucket is counting on young Harry Diaz to show the potential that earned him a long-term contract this offseason, and return to a starter's role. The bullpen is filled with veterans who need to do just enough to pass the baton to closer Mitch Jenkins.
Pawtucket's hitters will give some consistent run support, but need to make up for the loss of Rivas with their young talent. All-Star 1B Eric Clifton and power hitting OF Valerio Contreras provide a potent middle of the order, but ultimately the success of this offense may rely on the production of the remaining 2/3 of the lineup.
Dealing Rivas and shopping Contreras screams "rebuilding year", but the Paw Paws still have the manpower to make another playoff run. The question is will they be willing to add an impact player come mid-season if they're in the playoff race. They have the parts right now to win the division, but probably not to make a deep run in the playoffs.
X-Factors: Management is counting on rookie 3B Jolbert Uribe to improve upon his already impressive stint in the bigs last season. They'll need him to help offset the loss of Rivas by adding some punch to the middle of this lineup.
Buffalo Chips
Payroll: $57.8M
(S6: 76-86, 3rd place; S7: 72-90, 4th place)
Key Additions: SP Ken Hafner
Key Losses: DH Pedro Beltre, 3B Benji Dixon
Buffalo may need pitching to carry them if they are to break the string of four straight sub-.500, 3rd place finishes. The Chips young rotation is led by 15-game winners Adam Ramsay and Larry White. If Harry Gandarillas can stay healthy, he'll make this a truly intimidating rotation. Hafner adds depth to a bullpen that has some holes, and with the young offense the relievers will be called upon in many late inning nail-biters.
The Chips' offense will cause Buffalo fans to be cautiously optimistic. They're starting two rookies and three more youngsters with only one year of big league ball, so expecting this lineup to break out this season may not be realistic. But they certainly have the potential to do some damage once they get acclimated to pro ball. After letting most of last season's regulars go, Sockless Joe (Shoeless' great nephew) is selling fans on the hope that they can put it together sooner rather than later. The only proven threat in the lineup is veteran DH Derek Adams. If they can find a way to score consistently, this team will turn some heads.
The season will prove difficult for the Chips to become contenders, as they'll need steady play from many unproven players. If they can keep the core of the pitching staff intact while this young offense develops, the Chips could be a couple moves away from making a deep playoff run. But if Buffalo is out of the race this year and the contenders come-a-calling with some tempting prospects, will they be able to resist? Looks like the young guys may answer that question as the season unfolds.
X-Factor: Leadoff hitter, and SS, Vince Simmons needs to get on base much more than last season to keep some ducks on the pond for the middle of the order. If he can improve on his power numbers from last year, expect to see him move to the 2- or 3-hole to give the lineup more punch.
Sioux Falls Canaries
Payroll: $73.9M
(S6: 71-91, 4th place; S7: 78-84, 3rd place)
Key Additions: LF Bubbles Richard, SP Harry Moya
Key Losses: RP Christopher Spencer
Gaheel is looking to stabilize a franchise that has been plagued by rotating ownership and five last place finishes out of six seasons. The Canaries bring back much of the same pitching staff that allowed the fourth least runs in the AL last season. Alex Bravo will head the rotation in only his second full season in the bigs, and Moya is a great addition to throw in this pitcher-friendly park. Sioux Falls will need last year's tough-luck 15-game loser Bucky Anderson to earn his huge contract by giving 200+ IP. There is a nice mix of veteran and young relievers. After a phenomenal season with 150+ IP coming out of the pen, Bey Hamilton will become the closer with the ability to pitch the eighth and ninth. They'll need to hold any leads this offense can provide.
How did a team with the fourth best pitching finish last in the division? Because Sioux Falls scored more runs than only two other AL teams. Unfortunately for Canaries' fans, not much has changed this off-season. There is speed at the top of the order, starting with one of the best names in the game, 2B Jose Jose, followed by Bruce Wells. Those two should get on, but the lineup lacks power. The big bat belongs to aging veteran DH Johan Faulkner, who needs to forget a disappointing season 6 for this team to succeed. The bench is not very deep, so the reliable vets must stay healthy.
With the Canaries' pitching and defense, they'll be in most games in the late innings. But to make a run at the playoffs, they desperately need some of their young position players to produce. Expect to see plenty of small ball, which Sioux Falls will need to use effectively to improve on a 14-24 record in 1-run games last season. A lot has to align for this team to get to the playoffs as is, so if they're close look to see Gaheel in trade talks looking for someone to drive in runs.
X-Factor: Acquired in the Spencer trade, new LF Bubbles Richard will be counted upon to be a big run producer at the heart of this lineup. As Faulkner ages his power will also slip, but he should still get on base. The table will be set, now Bubbles just needs to come through.
Saturday, February 23, 2008
NO Quitters history
Founded as a "polite" elite league No Quitters!! has completed 6 seasons
Year 1
As in most leagues preseason year 1 saw the most positioning and repositioning. In the end Boston won the WS defeating the Blue Crabs 4-1. 26 or 32 owners returned for season 2.
Year 2
Year 2 brought a new AL team to the WS. Detroit defeated the Blue Crabs 4-1. Year 2 also saw the appearance and disappearance of "team of 7" an attempt to run a franchise with a different owner at each level. The effort was noteworthy for its dysharmony. 27 of 32 owners returned for yr 3
Year 3
Detroit encores its WS with a 4-3 victory over the Blue Crabs (there is increasing concern that Blue Craps are managed by the Atlanta Braves manager Billy Cox). 28 of 32 owners return for year 4. While the numbers are good a couple of hte teams have had annual ownership changes and increased attention is paid to stability starting in yr 4.
Year 4
The initial aging of the Blue Crabs is apparent in their early exit from the playoffs. This allows the NL to get a new franchise to the world series. Unfortunately the outcome is the same with Charlotte defeating Cheyenne 4-2. Stability is the primary off season issue as 8 teams are replaced, many of them for the 2nd or 3rd time.
Year 5
The Blue Crabs fade continues and they are displaced by Scranton as divison champs. However it is Austin that wins the NLs 1st World Series title with a 4-2 victory over Dover. 27 of 32 owners return. Recruiting for the 5 emply slots is slow as the Commish commits to filling only with experienced owners and staying private.
Year 6
Stability has been established. Charlotte and Cheyenne reprise the year 4 World Series with the same result. 31 of 32 teams return and the 32nd owner is Kcg67 who had won the initial world series. No Quitters rolls to year 7 in less than 24 hours. Hopefully this stability is here to stay.
In total 4 different teams have represented the AL in the WS winning 5 tittles
and 4 different teams have represented the NL winning only 1 WS.
Detroit 2 WS
Charlotte 2 WS
Austin 1 WS
Boston 1 WS
Year 1
As in most leagues preseason year 1 saw the most positioning and repositioning. In the end Boston won the WS defeating the Blue Crabs 4-1. 26 or 32 owners returned for season 2.
Year 2
Year 2 brought a new AL team to the WS. Detroit defeated the Blue Crabs 4-1. Year 2 also saw the appearance and disappearance of "team of 7" an attempt to run a franchise with a different owner at each level. The effort was noteworthy for its dysharmony. 27 of 32 owners returned for yr 3
Year 3
Detroit encores its WS with a 4-3 victory over the Blue Crabs (there is increasing concern that Blue Craps are managed by the Atlanta Braves manager Billy Cox). 28 of 32 owners return for year 4. While the numbers are good a couple of hte teams have had annual ownership changes and increased attention is paid to stability starting in yr 4.
Year 4
The initial aging of the Blue Crabs is apparent in their early exit from the playoffs. This allows the NL to get a new franchise to the world series. Unfortunately the outcome is the same with Charlotte defeating Cheyenne 4-2. Stability is the primary off season issue as 8 teams are replaced, many of them for the 2nd or 3rd time.
Year 5
The Blue Crabs fade continues and they are displaced by Scranton as divison champs. However it is Austin that wins the NLs 1st World Series title with a 4-2 victory over Dover. 27 of 32 owners return. Recruiting for the 5 emply slots is slow as the Commish commits to filling only with experienced owners and staying private.
Year 6
Stability has been established. Charlotte and Cheyenne reprise the year 4 World Series with the same result. 31 of 32 teams return and the 32nd owner is Kcg67 who had won the initial world series. No Quitters rolls to year 7 in less than 24 hours. Hopefully this stability is here to stay.
In total 4 different teams have represented the AL in the WS winning 5 tittles
and 4 different teams have represented the NL winning only 1 WS.
Detroit 2 WS
Charlotte 2 WS
Austin 1 WS
Boston 1 WS
NL East History and Preview
The Scranton Quakers and owner Saffron entire the 7th ear of NO Quitters!! on a role. They have gradually moved up the division standing and have won the divison in yrs 5 and 6. In year 6 the Quakers succumbed in the League Championship series. They have been able to maintain a low player budget with strong budgets in scouting and training. The offseason brought a single trade for a setup reliever and a late free agent signing of another Relief pitcher but otherwise the divison champions stood pat. The Quakers are young, talented, and reliant on pitching. Keeping this club together as salary demands increase will be a challenge.
The Baltimore Blue Crabs roared into No Quitters with 4 straight division titles but have slipped to second in the NL east (and oout of the playoffs) as the team aged and mistakes were made in resigning players. Year 6 was a improvement on year 5 and the Crabs hope for continued improvement in yr 7. The crabs have a mixture of youth and experienced players who play excellant defense, score runs, and usually pitch well. However, they don't play consistent ball and are prone to injuries. Ultimately they will only go as far as their pitching. Two trades brought platoon SS and a long reliever - back up SP to the Crabs and a new CLoser was signed off free agency. Otherwise the team is persuing the title with essentially the same players as year 6, a balance of pitching and hitting that may or may not mesh in year 7. Management has a well stocked minors that could be a source off promotions to the majors or "trade bait" for players that will fit into the "Crabby Way".
The Washington Senators are on their 3rd owner and are coming off and headed for rebuilding years. They hope to score in the draft as they look to the future. No major players were brought in via trades though several veterans departed, as the Senators slashed their player budget. They also passed on most of the free agent market. The Washington fans will need strong stomachs when the Senators are up at bat but the pitching should keep many games close.
Pittsburg reached bottom in year 5 as their owner worked through the nature of HBD. The pitching is young and has potential but the offense needs punch, esp playing half their games in the cavernous Pittsburg park that sucks the bats right out of the hitters hands. Good for your pitchers - bad for your hitters. The owner has settled into a more patient program of development and a couple of quality additions to the day to day line up in the next year of 2 will make the team very competitive.
PredictionsScranton and Baltimore battle to the end of the year - the losser gets a WC birth. Pittsburg stays in 3rd but breaks out of the 100 loss season pattern of the last 3 years. Washington contends for the st pick in the draft.
The Baltimore Blue Crabs roared into No Quitters with 4 straight division titles but have slipped to second in the NL east (and oout of the playoffs) as the team aged and mistakes were made in resigning players. Year 6 was a improvement on year 5 and the Crabs hope for continued improvement in yr 7. The crabs have a mixture of youth and experienced players who play excellant defense, score runs, and usually pitch well. However, they don't play consistent ball and are prone to injuries. Ultimately they will only go as far as their pitching. Two trades brought platoon SS and a long reliever - back up SP to the Crabs and a new CLoser was signed off free agency. Otherwise the team is persuing the title with essentially the same players as year 6, a balance of pitching and hitting that may or may not mesh in year 7. Management has a well stocked minors that could be a source off promotions to the majors or "trade bait" for players that will fit into the "Crabby Way".
The Washington Senators are on their 3rd owner and are coming off and headed for rebuilding years. They hope to score in the draft as they look to the future. No major players were brought in via trades though several veterans departed, as the Senators slashed their player budget. They also passed on most of the free agent market. The Washington fans will need strong stomachs when the Senators are up at bat but the pitching should keep many games close.
Pittsburg reached bottom in year 5 as their owner worked through the nature of HBD. The pitching is young and has potential but the offense needs punch, esp playing half their games in the cavernous Pittsburg park that sucks the bats right out of the hitters hands. Good for your pitchers - bad for your hitters. The owner has settled into a more patient program of development and a couple of quality additions to the day to day line up in the next year of 2 will make the team very competitive.
PredictionsScranton and Baltimore battle to the end of the year - the losser gets a WC birth. Pittsburg stays in 3rd but breaks out of the 100 loss season pattern of the last 3 years. Washington contends for the st pick in the draft.
Thursday, February 21, 2008
HBD- No Quitters
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